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Each
week NationalChamps.net will be picking several
games to breakdown while predicting against the
point spread. NationalChamps.net does not support
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PRESEASON
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PICKS
AGAINST THE SPREAD
INSIDE99: 0-0
Ohio State -6.5 over Texas Tech
Ricky Sixx: 0-0
Ohio State -6.5 over Texas Tech
NC State -12.5 over New Mexico
Virginia Tech -37 over Arkansas State |
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TEXAS TECH PASS VERSUS OHIO STATE PASS DEFENSE
Edge: Texas Tech
Let's face it. We are talking about a senior Heisman Candidate
QB in Kliff Kingsbury. If Texas Tech has any chance of
pulling this one out in Columbus, they will need to ride
the arm of the K man. Insert that necessity in every game
the Red Raiders do battle. If Kingsbury had the Ohio State
targets, we might be talking about a conference title
run. But he does have some of his own receivers. The returning
Tech personnel have over 230 catches carrying over from
last fall. There is no standout in this group, but more
of a star by numbers exists. OSU needs to improve the
pass coverage but has a better defensive back department
due to starting safeties, All-American Mike Doss and free
safety Donnie Nickey. All eyes will be on the Buckeye
corners as new replacements have stepped in for departures.
Good news has been coming out of Columbus on young Dustin
Fox.
OHIO
STATE PASS VERSUS TEXAS TECH PASS DEFENSE
Slight Edge: Ohio State
Hints are in the air suggesting that Ohio State is going
to be utilizing the pass more as opposed to recent years
past. But don't look for the running game to take a
back seat in Buckeye Country, as the quarterbacks on
this side of the field are not going to be the focus
of 2002. The OSU receivers broke our Top 5 Unit Rankings
for this year. These kids own the company receivers.org.
The depth is just plain silly with names such as Vance,
Jenkins, Gamble, and Childress. This may be the best
set of receivers to play in the Horseshoe in the last
5-7 years. Texas Tech has been fair against the pass.
There just does not seem to be one player that stands
out as somebody who can step up. Too many weapons in
scarlet and gray running routes. But the edge is only
slight due to the inexperience of the man pulling the
trigger and the fact that Texas Tech will bring pressure
with excellent pass rushing numbers.
TEXAS TECH RUN VERSUS OHIO STATE RUN DEFENSE
Edge: Ohio State
Texas Tech isn't based on the run, especially with the
ungodly numbers of personnel running pass patterns.
Watch out for a young kid though by the name of Johnnie
Mack this year in the Red Raider backfield, a California
JUCO speedster. But this was an easy call. Keep an eye
on Cie, Cie Grant that is, the cornerback turned linebacker
at OSU. Some of the match ups with the linebackers should
be interesting.
OHIO STATE RUN VERSUS TEXAS TECH RUN DEFENSE
Edge: Ohio State
The rushing cupboard is very well stacked in Columbus.
Starting TB Lydell Ross has been hampered by a hamstring
injury, but should be ready to go. No matter, some people
call me Maurice. That would be the replacements in either
big Maurice Hall or super recruit Maurice Clarrett.
The later was the USA Today Offensive Player of the
Year and Mr. Football in the state of Ohio just last
season as a high school senior. Oh yea, forgot to mention
he is a 230-pound tailback. FB Brandon Joe is suspended
for this game. The middle of the defense for Texas Tech
starts with All-American Candidate Lawrence Flugence
at linebacker. He provides the big obstacle. For this
edge to get closer, Flugence needs to rock on.
TEXAS
TECH OL VERSUS OHIO STATE DL
Edge: Ohio State
The Raiders are probably better pass blockers due to
the fact practice makes perfect. Giving Kingsbury time
could prove costly to the opponent. Toby Cecil and Rex
Richards are two of the best linemen in Big 12 country,
but gaps remain in between with talent but inexperience.
Newcomers will be protecting both of Kingsbury's sides
at the tackle spots. This is a very big key match up
to watch; the Tech tackles blocking the OSU rush ends.
The starting defensive front wall for the Buckeyes is
more experienced and talented.
OHIO
STATE OL VERSUS TEXAS TECH DL
Slight Edge: Ohio State
There is a lack of depth up front offensively for the
Buckeyes, but the starting unit looks solid. Basically,
it is a typical Big Ten power group capable of moving
obstacles. The front wall for the Red Raiders is just
as stellar and racked up 35 sacks last year, they just
have questions concerning stopping the run, a bad combo
for this week's match up. But due to the pass rushing
skills, this may be closer then the experts think.
SPECIAL TEAMS
EDGE: Even
The Buckeyes have an outstanding punter in senior Andy
Groom, who averaged 45 yards per punt last season. But
Ohio State was extremely lackluster in the kicking department
last year, going a sub par 10 for 24 in field goals.
Senior Robert Treece on the other hand, gives Texas
Tech a distinct advantage with the kickers. If the game
were to come down to a game of field goals, the Red
Raiders have the definite edge. The combination of Chris
Vance and Chris Gamble gives the Buckeyes a definite
threat at returning punts. But the Raiders counter with
a playmaker of their own in Wes Welker.
FINAL THOUGHTS
This game is very big for both of these squads, maybe
a little underrated for this weekend of football. You
have to respect that the game is in Columbus. You have
to respect that Ohio State has more overall talent and
size. But you cannot dismiss the fact that Texas Tech
has an ultimate passing weapon in Kingsbury. He is enough
alone to get this game within Red Raider striking distance.
If Ohio State loses this home opener, they are straight
into a deep, deep hole with all of the preseason expectations
abound. If the game were in Lubbock, Buckeye fans should
have been sweating, as everyone knows how gritty Tech
can be in their own back yard on the artificial turf.
It ain't gonna happen on the grass of Columbus. Take
Ohio State and give the 7 points.
INSIDE99 PICK: OHIO STATE -7
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FLORIDA STATE PASS VERSUS IOWA STATE PASS DEFENSE
Slight Edge: Florida State
This may be the best "inside the game" match
up to follow, with the experienced secondary of Iowa State
battling the athletic receivers of Florida State. The
Seminole receiving troops represent some of the most deepest
Coach Bowden has seen in a while. Anquan Boldin is questionable
for this game after restraining that season ending knee
injury from 2001. His partner Talman Gardner will be one
of the nation's best at season's end with his size and
speed (FSU's fasted 40-yard dash with height at 6'2).
Contrary to popular belief, FSU QB Chris Rix is not a
Heisman type signal caller just yet, but he is going to
be a good one. Flat out, Iowa State has the best secondary
since Head Coach Dan McCarney took over. All two-deeps
return except for departed Adam Runk. The slight edge
is due in part to the height of the Nole receivers and
the shortness of the ISU defensive backs. FSU loves to
put it up for grabs with these kids, which could spell
trouble.
IOWA
STATE PASS VERSUS FLORIDA STATE PASS DEFENSE
Edge: Iowa State
If you haven't heard of Cyclone QB Seneca Wallace yet,
you will after the first couple of series. His sleek
mobility and athleticism allows Iowa State to keep any
defense on its heels. He has quite an arm and a senior
mentality. Watch one of the most underrated receivers
in America, as Lane Danielson gives the Cyclones a go-to
weapon on the outside. FSU's pass rush disappeared last
fall. Chasing Wallace around may not be advisable, which
leaves the Seminole DB's covering longer with two new
safeties playing from a unit that was questionable last
year. If Iowa State is going to have a shot, it will
come from this category.
FLORIDA STATE RUN VERSUS IOWA STATE RUN DEFENSE
Edge: Florida State
The FSU front wall is big and mostly all seniors. The
FSU tailbacks are the deepest and most talented unit
in Tallahassee. FSU will attempt to mix a balanced array
of running and passing. But Iowa State is no stranger
to big linemen and good backs as the Big 12 has prepared
them well. MLB Matt Word and a gritty defensive front
will make FSU earn every yard. But one of the biggest
differences between last year and this year for FSU
is their focus on executing a potent running attack,
with the weapons to do it.
IOWA STATE RUN VERSUS FLORIDA STATE RUN DEFENSE
Edge: Florida State
A Cyclone concern is on the offensive line. What was
a thin and inexperienced depth chart has been thinned
out a little more due to injury. The services of tailback
Ennis Haywood no longer exists from last year as three
runners may see action. The FSU defensive line and linebackers
are way too much to block at this juncture for Iowa
State, as the only strength from last year's defensive
fall out for FSU brings most all of its starters back.
Keep an eye on Michael Boulware at OLB, he is your playmaker.
This edge would be more glaring if not for the running
threat that Wallace provides.
FLORIDA
STATE OL VERSUS IOWA STATE DL
Edge: Florida State
It is funny how year's past would find the FSU front
wall being criticized for their run blocking ability,
only two years later to be questioned about their pass
blocking ability. Maybe because this unit goes over
300 pounds per man. Most preseason prognosticators agree
this FSU group is one of the nation's best. True with
the starters, but there is a huge drop off in the second
group. The Iowa State trench dwellers are short on experience,
but are led by a good one in tackle Jordan Carstens.
Coaches will have to mix it up to keep this unit hanging
tough for four quarters.
IOWA
STATE OL VERSUS FLORIDA STATE DL
Edge: Florida State
The biggest mismatches in this game are on the line
of scrimmage. The biggest loses for Iowa State were
on the offensive line, as only two starters are back
on this unit. If that wasn't enough, starting guard
Luke Vander Sanden has been lost for a long stretch
with a broken ankle. If trench warfare is where the
game is going to be won, FSU has a huge advantage. Starting
FSU nose guard Jeff Womble is out for this game with
a suspension. The group consisting of Dockett, Johnson,
Jackson, and Emanuel will be more than a handful for
the Iowa State offensive line. A key to watch in this
game: can the deep set of defensive ends for the Noles
contain Seneca Wallace and his running skills?
SPECIAL TEAMS
EDGE: Even
Tony Yelk developed into a fine punter last season for
the Cyclones averaging 43.8 yards per punt, with 15
of them left inside the 20-yard line. Florida State
on the other hand, may have its biggest weakness resting
in the punting department. Quite the opposite on the
kicking comparison as young sophomore Xavier Beitia
went a cool 13-14 on field goals last season at Florida
State, earning him All-ACC honors. The kicking woes
for FSU are over. Tony Yelk also handled kicking duties
last year for ISU, but his accuracy proved to be off
with dismal numbers. The Noles have yet to locate a
super star in the return department, something that
has been missing the past few seasons. The Cyclones
have some strong return men, but no consistent game
breakers have emerged.
FINAL THOUGHTS
Florida State is a whopping 22-point favorite heading
into this Kansas City tussle. It is hard to imagine
a Seneca Wallace led team getting blown out by anybody
in 2002. In Tallahassee, every game is crucial, you
never get that feeling with most Cyclone teams. How
that pans out can work either way, but the pressue is
likely on Florida State. The distinctive edge here goes
to the Seminoles at both sides of the line of scrimmage,
at depth, and at athleticism. For Iowa State to have
a chance at the end, Wallace will need to play the game
of his life. Don't misunderstand, Iowa State has some
players that can get after you, but the numbers always
favor FSU in these types of match ups, especially in
the heat of the early season. Chasing the ISU offense
around can get tiring, but extreme depth at defensive
end for Florida State should neutralize the sting. Both
teams have grueling 13-game schedules. Losing the first
one is going to force an up hill battle the rest of
the way. Both teams have suffered through about the
same amount of August injuries, most of them of the
lesser variety. Even though we are not making this one
of our picks against the spread, covering that many
points will be too difficult for the first game rust
and jitters that will likely show for both squads.
INSIDE99
PICK: FLORIDA STATE
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ARIZONA
STATE PASS VERSUS NEBRASKA PASS DEFENSE
Edge: Arizona State
Other than DeJuan Groce's big play ability
there isn't much to be excited about when looking at
Nebraska's secondary. The injury to Willie Amos in the
spring will make it harder for 3 new and inexperienced
starters to try to stop ASU's more than capable group
of Wide Receivers. With All American candidate Shaun
McDonald back with more than capable Justin Taplin,
and veteran tight end Mike Pinkard, ASU should be able
to gain some yards, and more importantly hope to make
some big plays, given first Chad Christiansen (or Andy
Goodenough) gets enough time in the pocket. Either way
starting your first game for the Devils in Memorial
stadium will not be an easy one.
NEBRASKA
PASS VERSUS ARIZONA STATE PASS DEFENSE
Edge: Arizona State
Let's
face it, Nebraska's game is not the pass and they rather
not do it unless its either 3rd and Long or they're
facing 10 guys in the box. That being said, Arizona
State's strength is in the back 7 which returns 6 starters,
they should be able to contain a green Jammal Lord when
need be.
ARIZONA
STATE RUN VERSUS NEBRASKA RUN DEFENSE
Slight Edge: Nebraska
Arizona State now gives the Running Back position to
Mike Williams, Hakim Hill and Cornell Candidate, as
they try to take some pressure off the QB position,
though the offensive Line might have their work cut
out for them, they could perhaps do some damage if they
can penetrate Nebraska's back 7 which lacks both experience
and a real difference maker, still the difference in
talent probably goes in favor of Nebraska. One of the
few bright spots on what could be a below average year
for the black-shirts is the defensive line. Returning
3 of last years 4 starters including stand out Chris
Kelsay, Nebraska's Defensive Line should cause havoc
against what is a very inexperienced offensive line
that returns only 1 starter. Arizona State's Running
Back, Mike Williams and company will have their work
cut out for them.
NEBRASKA
RUN VERSUS ARIZONA STATE RUN DEFENSE
Edge: Nebraska
With
Diedrick's availability still in doubt, Nebraska still
has more then enough weapons to take control of the ground.
First year starter and fleet footed Jammal Lord will lead
the way with Thunder Collins if his All Big 12 teammate
isn't on the field for the game. Trying to stop them will
be a 3 returning LBs who are not short on experience but
could have their work cut out for them with what will
look like a porous Defensive Line.
ARIZONA
STATE OL VERSUS NEBRASKA DL
Edge: Nebraska
One
of the few bright spots on what could be a below average
year for the black-shirts is the defensive line. Returning
3 of last years 4 starters including stand out Chris Kelsay,
Nebraska's Defensive Line should cause havoc against what
is a very inexperienced offensive line that returns Regis
Crawford as their only Offensive Lineman with starting
experience.
NEBRASKA
OL VERSUS ARIZONA STATE DL
Edge: Nebraska
It
all starts up front and that is where Nebraska's already
got an edge. Sure Nebraska only returns 2 starters on
the offensive line but they never have a shortage of
meat plows to open holes for their backs. As for Arizona's
inexperienced Defensive Line, they will need All American
candidate Terrel Suggs to have a career day if they
expect to contain Nebraska's ground attack. He returns
as the only formidable presence on what is a relatively
week Defensive Line.
SPECIAL
TEAMS
Edge: Nebraska
For
Nebraska, Josh Brown is one of the Big 12's best kickers,
if not the best, and the steady play of punter Kyle
Larson is adequate. Making the biggest difference though
is Dejuan Groce's ability to make things happen on kick
returns. Arizona State on the other side can count on
Mike Barth to make most kicks, but they'll have to count
on juco transfer Tim Parker for their punting duties.
Justin Taplin will take care of punt return duties as
a formidable threat.
FINAL
THOUGHTS
Nebraska
brings in the nation's longest home winning streak and
probably their worst team in maybe 4 years, but will
that be enough for Arizona State to pull off the upset?
To do so they'll need to have some big special team
breaks and make big plays through out the course of
the game if its to happen. Nebraska's ability to dominate
the lines though will make it very difficult for ASU
to sustain enough drives to keep up with Nebraska's
ground game. I expect both teams to put up some points
on one another, but I think in the end Nebraska's home
field advantage combined with ability to play keep away
should prove to be too much for a undermanned Arizona
State defense.
RickySixx
prediction: Nebraska 45 ASU 27
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This
week's analysis provided by: Chris Lees, Sparty4600 |
JOHN
THOMPSON FOUNDATION CLASSIC
Friday, August 23 - 8:00 pm EST
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WISCONSIN PASS VERSUS FRESNO STATE PASS DEFENSE
Edge: Wisconsin
With
Brooks Bollinger, one of the better QB's in the Big Ten,
and 6' 6" receiver Darrin Charles, Wisconsin could
have a big day passing against a fairly weak Fresno secondary.
The secondary is led by the lone returnee Bryce McGill,
a hard-hitting strong safety. I'd give Wisconsin a bigger
advantage if Lee Evans were playing.
FRESNO STATE PASS VERSUS WISCONSIN PASS DEFENSE
Edge: Fresno State
With
two solid receivers, fast Bernard Berrian and aggressive
Marque Davis Fresno should be able to beat up on Wisconsin's
vulnerable secondary. In order to get big yards passing,
the receivers need to get the ball and that means QB
Jeff Grady, who has only thrown 23 career passes will
have to step up. Wisconsin's secondary is led by CB
Scott Starks, who was pushed into play as a freshman
while showing some potential.
WISCONSIN RUN VERSUS FRESNO STATE RUN DEFENSE
Edge: Wisconsin
Anthony
Davis, the Big Ten's and possibly the nations best rusher,
who had 1,446 as a freshman, should gain alot of yards
in this game, but perhaps not as many as some would
think. Fresno returns five out of the front seven including
their three best; strong nose tackle Jason Stewart,
All-WAC end Nick Burley, and a great run stopper middle
linebacker Marc Dailey.
FRESNO STATE RUN VERSUS WISCONSIN RUN DEFENSE
Slight Edge: Wisconsin
Hard
call here, two very weak points for each team. Wisconsin
only returns middle linebacker Jeff Mack while Fresno
is without everyone except HB Alec Greco, a small contributor.
Fresno was looking to Derrick Ward to make something
happen, but he was lost to academics while Wisconsin
never had much to begin with. Fresno may look to Therrian
Fontenot but that remains undecided. Wisconsin is just
hoping someone on the D-line will step up and contribute.
WISCONSIN OL VERSUS FRESNO STATE DL
Edge: Wisconsin
Wisconsin
has one of the best OL's in the country led by center
Al Johnson and left tackle Ben Johnson. Fresno has an
okay D-line led by All-WAC end Nick Burley. If Wisconsin
wins this game, it will be their OL that leads them
to victory.
FRESNO STATE OL VERSUS WISCONSIN DL
Edge: Fresno State
A
huge offensive line versus an inexperienced defensive
line could be Fresno's biggest advantage. Led by center
Rodney Michael all five returning starters weigh over
300 pounds. Wisconsin's Anttaj Hawthorne is no shrimp
either. The 6' 3" 305-pound tackle will lead Wisconsin's
D-line. He has three career starts under his belt.
SPECIAL TEAMS
Edge: Fresno State
Fresno might just have the nation's best unit with Berrian
returning kick-offs and punts. All-WAC picks K Asen
Asparuhov and P Jason Simpson make this unit is dangerous.
As for Wisconsin, back-up RB Jerone Pettus will return
kick-offs and punts while strong-legged Scott Campbell
will handle kick-offs and FG's. R.J. Morse will once
again do punts.
FINAL
THOUGHTS
I might regret this pick in the end, but something's
telling me not to pick Wisconsin without Lee Evans.
Fresno is too strong to be denied by such a weak defense.
Sparty4600 PICK: Fresno State by 5
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