|
DB
Troy Nolan |
|
|
|
Coach:
Dennis Erickson
10-3,
1 year |
2007
Record: 10-3 |
|
SAN
JOSE STATE |
WON
45-3 |
COLORADO |
WON
33-14 |
SAN
DIEGO STATE |
WON
34-13 |
OREGON
STATE |
WON
44-32 |
at
Stanford |
WON
41-3 |
at
Washington State |
WON
23-20 |
WASHINGTON |
WON
44-20 |
CALIFORNIA |
WON
31-20 |
at
Oregon |
LOST
23-35 |
at
UCLA |
WON
24-20 |
USC |
LOST
24-44 |
ARIZONA |
WON
20-17 |
HOLIDAY
BOWL |
Texas |
LOST
34-52 |
|
2007
Final Rankings
AP-16, Coaches-13, BCS-11
|
2008
Outlook |
Be
honest and remember
what you thought
the moment you heard
that Dennis Erickson
would become the
head coach at Arizona
State…c’mon,
be honest now. Quite
frankly, we thought
twice about the
then-head man at
perennial floor-mat
Idaho. We sure hope
all of those who
share prognosticating
egg on their face
can admit their
opining errors.
It’s not like
his résumé
missed warning us
of his coaching
legend – two
national titles
at Miami in three
years (1989. ’91),
one of two coaches
in his career to
win three games
versus No.1 opponents
(Lou Holtz the other),
and his famed turnaround
at Oregon State
are just a few of
this journeyman-coach’s
many accomplishments.
Starting off 8-0
was not a shock,
but was somewhat
unexpected; then
finishing 2-3 disappointed,
but it showed Erickson
just what his team
would need for 2008.
Besides the loss
to Oregon (when
Duck QB Dixon was
still healthy),
the losses were
to teams that finished
better than ASU,
so no major concern.
With the same emerging
QB and most of the
main ball-handling
weapons returning,
State could easily
be amongst the top
10 by October.
Rudy
Carpenter has the
talent and will
keep this offense
consistent and aggressive.
A few of those foes
in the latter stages
of 2007 held the
team under 30 points,
but none could stop
Carpenter’s
methodical results
– he had a
TD pass in every
game last year,
and only threw a
combined three INTs
in those five crucial
year-end tilts.
The RBs are stacked
four high waiting
for well-earned
carries, and the
WRs/TEs are there
for anything to
happen. The line
issues (at both
tackles) will hopefully
turn last year’s
sack crisis into
this year’s
opportunity to improve
through graduation(s).
The
Sun Devils stay
on track personnel-wise
on offense, but
the defense loses
three DBs, and we
all know how the
Big Ten is a “passing
purgatory”
when your secondary
isn’t playing
well together. All
of the individual
talent aside, if
the secondary can’t
gel for a well-orchestrated
effort, last year’s
high pass efficiency
(defensive) ranking
– 15th –
won’t come
close to being repeated.
WLB Robert James
is gone, but it
won’t be as
hard to fill in
his numbers as it
will be to recreate
their tight passing
defense. See, that
was the result of
the Sun Devil’s
strong run-stopping
– foes threw
it 487 times since
they often failed
in their 407 ground
tries. The front
seven returns five
starters, so stopping
the run will again
happen, thus foes
will start to pass
it early and often.
The
rough schedule isn’t
bad if fans remember
that, in voter’s
eyes, playing better
teams translates
in the polls and
thus a tougher schedule
is good for year-end
jockeying. Stanford
early is a trap
game with Cardinal
head coach Jim Harbaugh
beating USC last
year. The game at
home with Georgia
has to be a focus,
but cannot distract
ASU - the UGA game
kicks off five straight
games against bowl
teams from last
year. Southern Cal,
Cal and Oregon State
are all away, too,
during that critical
span.
Carpenter
is a senior, making
this a poignant
time for Arizona
State to make its
move into the BCS
– USC is in
flux at QB, as is
Oregon, and Cal
is coming off a
lull year. The top
guns are vulnerable,
so if ASU cannot
get it done this
year, it has to
be seen as a blown
opportunity to take
the program where
it has the potential
to reach. Pac Ten
co-champs last year
was nice, but seizing
the “golden
ring” and
making the BCS has
to be the goal so
that, even if someone
finishes ahead of
them in the conference,
they make a wildcard
spot in the big
show(s) playing
to their high potential.
It’s
going to be getting
hotter in Tempe,
even as fall rolls
around and a November
chill hangs over
the desert.
Projected
2008 record: 8-4
|
|
ARIZONA
STATE
*POWER RATINGS |
Offense |
Defense |
QB
- 4.5 |
DL
- 4 |
RB
- 3.5 |
LB
- 3.5 |
WR
- 4.5 |
DB
- 3.5 |
OL
- 2 |
.. |
|
ARIZONA
STATE
2007 Statistical
Rankings |
OFFENSE |
|
National |
Conf. |
Rushing: |
77 |
7 |
Passing: |
34 |
3 |
Total
Off: |
56 |
5 |
Sacks
Allow: |
117 |
10 |
|
DEFENSE |
|
National |
Conf. |
Rushing: |
21 |
4 |
Passing: |
61 |
3 |
Total
Def: |
30 |
4 |
Sacks: |
49 |
9 |
|
|
RETURNING
LEADERS |
Passing:
Rudy Carpenter,
246-398-10, 3202
yds., 25 TD
Rushing:
Keegan Herring,
154 att., 815 yds.,
5 TD
Receiving:
Chris McGaha, 61
rec., 830 yds.,
1 TD
Scoring:
Thomas Weber, 24-25
FG, 46-48 PAT, 118
pts.
Punting:
Thomas Weber, 47
punts, 39.3 avg.
Kicking:
Thomas Weber, 24-25
FG, 46-48 PAT, 118
pts.
Tackles:
Travis Goethel,
71 tot., 43 solo
Sacks: Dexter
Davis, 10.5 sacks
Interceptions:
Troy Nolan, 6 for
129 yds., 2 TD
Kickoff Returns:
Chris McGaha, 5
ret., 20.0 avg.,
0 TE
Punt Returns:
Kyle Williams, 23
ret., 9.7 avg.,
0 TD
|
|
|
K
Thomas Weber |
|
|
|
ARIZONA
STATE
|
|
|
OFFENSE
-
7 |
----RETURNING
STARTERS---- |
DEFENSE
- 7 |
|
KEY
LOSSES |
OFFENSE:
Ryan Torain-TB, Rudy
Burgess-WR, Tyrice
Thompson-WR, Brent
Miller-TE, Brady Conrad-TE,
Brandon Rodd-OT, Robert
Gustavis-OG, Mike
Pollak-C, Julius Orieukwu-OT,
Zach Krula-OT, Dane
Guthrie-TE |
DEFENSE:
Michael
Marquardt-DT, Robert
James-WLB, Justin
Tryon-CB, Chris Baloney-CB,
Josh Barrett-FS, Jonathan
Johnson-P |
|
|
2008
OFFENSE |
QUARTERBACK
It looks like coordinator
Rich Olsen and head coach
Dennis Erickson solved
Arizona State’s
offensive (in)consistency
problems in their first
campaign here. Only the
best defenses stopped
Rudy Carpenter in his
junior year. The line
seemed to be a marginal
run-blocking group, but
allowing 55 sacks was
third-worst in all of
FBS. Yet the passing game
did function rather nicely,
regardless, which is more
of a statement unto Rudy’s
prowess. Many skill positions
are back, and with their
senior hurler, this offense
will impress again. Carpenter
is one of the top arms
in the country, and he
became a great game manager,
too, during last year’s
10-3 campaign. From his
sophomore to his junior
campaigns, his completion
percentage went up and
his INTs went down, and
we think his upside still
hasn’t been fully
realized. He has only
thrown two INTs three
times during his illustrious
college career (led NCAA
in passing efficiency
as a freshman). This guy
needs protecting, for
even though he proved
his toughness by standing
tall in the pocket, that
next hit could be the
one that harms his sub-200lb.
body and really hurts
ASU’s chances at
the Pac Ten crown. Conversely,
Rudy has to be more aware
of his presence in the
pocket and move when that
short clock says it’s
time. Backup Danny Sullivan
has the profile to be
another great one, and
his brief insertions have
shown such. We think it’s
a no-brainer that he sees
more reps as the heir-apparent.
RUNNING
BACK
And speaking of talents,
RB Keegan Herring claims
a 4.3 in the 40, lightning
speed through the hole.
Dimitri Nance is the tough
inside runner who needs
to live up to expectations
(a mere 3.8 yards per
carry average for a guy
who hit for 3,000+ yards
in his senior prep season).
JUCO-prospect Jarrell
Woods is a junior and
a physical specimen –
he has a 39” vertical
leap to go with his 425lb.
bench and 605lb. squat.
Woods looks hungry for
carries, as does Shuan
DeWitty, who missed last
year (back, knee) and
has been limited for most
of his time here in Tempe.
These four are quite enough
for this one-back set,
and making the ball go
around evenly will be
a challenge, though, all
will participate if called
upon. Even though Olsen
and Erickson have their
guys run it a little more
than they pass it, the
run needs to be established
better than it was in
2007. When the offense
is doing great, methodical
running eats the clock
nicely…but when
they struggled last year,
the running game didn’t
have that extra gear to
assure itself production.
RECEIVER
/ TIGHT END
Imagine what Carpenter
can do when not running
for his life – three
of his top four weapons
return to raise the bar
even further. Kyle Williams
joins all-conference honorable
mentionees Mike Jones
(6’4) and ex-track
guy Chris McGaha to form
the triple-pronged “pitchfork”
attack. The unknown guy
is Kerry Taylor, a Chandler
(Hamilton) product who
can adjust well to poorly
thrown balls and pile
up YAC like crazy. All-around
athlete Gerrell Taylor
(QB/RB/WR/DB) and Kemonte
Bateman, two four-star
prospects, should get
touches, too, to keep
them in Tempe. UPDATE:
Tight end Dane Guthrie
will not be returning
to Arizona State this
season, reportedly because
of academic issues.
OFFENSIVE
LINE
Back
to the line…can
the new faces protect
their QB? Freshman center
Garth Gerhart has been
touted as the leader at
that spot, and his heady
approach is just what
the OL needs to help break
down the needed blocking
schemes when protecting.
He joins senior Paul Fanaika
and junior Shawn Lauvao
inside, securing the runs
between the tackles. It’s
the tackle prospects that
need sorting out. Richard
Tuitu’u could find
himself back on the left
side; his size and effectiveness
should be an upgrade.
The other tackle spot
looks like it is up for
grabs, with Jon Hargis,
JUCO-transfer Tom Njunge
and Adam Tello all capable
of securing the slot.
This allows the others
to be backups, and all
will see time early on
as the coaches decide
who works best with whom.
They have until the Georgia
game to figure it out.
The TE slot is also up
for grabs, and Andy Pettes
(runs 4.7 in the 40) looks
in line for a well-deserved
start. Dane Guthrie has
also been patient after
transferring from Florida,
and offers more size to
go with his soft hands.
The new-look front can
actually find its own
identity and shake off
last year’s pass
protection troubles.
|
|
QB
Rudy Carpenter
|
|
|
ARIZONA
STATE 2008 DEPTH
CHART
Returning
Starters/Key
Players |
OFFENSE |
QB |
Rudy
Carpenter-Sr (6-2,
199) |
Danny
Sullivan-Jr (6-4,
236) |
TB |
Keegan
Herring-Sr (5-10,
186) |
Dimitri
Nance-Jr (5-10, 204) |
WR |
Michael
Jones-Sr (6-4, 208) |
Nate
Kimbrough-Sr (6-1,
189)
T.J. Simpson-Fr (6-2,
185) |
WR |
Chris
McGaha-Jr (6-1, 189) |
Kerry
Taylor-So (6-0, 187) |
WR |
Kyle
Williams-Jr (5-10,
185) |
Brandon
Smith-Jr (6-2, 200) |
TE |
Andrew
Pettes-Sr (6-4, 252) |
Jovon
Williams-Jr (6-4,
227) |
OT |
Jon
Hargis-So (6-4, 310) |
Tom
Njunge-Jr (6-5, 280) |
OG |
Shawn
Lauvao-Jr (6-3, 307) |
Brent
Good-Jr (6-2, 354) |
C |
Thomas
Altieri-Jr (6-2, 292) |
Garth
Gerhart-Fr (6-2, 300) |
OG |
Paul
Fanaika-Sr (6-6, 359) |
Matt
Hustad-Fr (6-5, 260) |
OT |
Richard
Tuitu'u-Jr (6-4, 350) |
Adam
Tello-Fr (6-4, 290) |
K |
Thomas
Weber-So (6-1, 202) |
Zach
Richards-Fr (6-2,
188) |
|
|
2008
DEFENSE |
This
is the side of the ball
that needs the most attention.
Numbers from ’07
were good and signal that
the talent here can do
the job at times. But
at other times, it seems
they are overwhelmed.
The last three losses
were all games where ASU
allowed at least 35 points,
but they were also against
some of the nation’s
best teams. Defensive
improvements will go the
farthest toward improving
State’s W-L record.
DEFENSIVE
LINE
The line has its three
most productive guys back,
with the ends combining
for 25 TFLs. Dexter Davis
is an All-American with
us this preseason since
he tied for 14th nationally
in sacks. This ex-wrestler
plays smart, mobile and
aggressively. JUCO-graduate
Luis Vasquez hasn’t
gotten to the QB as much
as he did when he led
the NJCAA from 2005-06
in sacks, but the former
Purdue recruit has an
upside that should be
realized as foes focus
on Davis’s side.
The tandem started every
game last year together.
Inside, Jon Hargis is
reported to be moving
to offense (LT), so Dave
Smith is the lone tackle
with worthwhile experience.
Smith is big enough to
plug and clog, and quick
enough to play outside
of the five-gap when the
line shifts/stunts. Paul
‘Unga looks decent,
but needs some girth to
be effective (enough)
in this league. Las Vegas’
Lawrence Guy is this class’s
No.13 prospect, and more
depth inside has us believing
the strong run stopping
efforts will continue.
LINEBACKER
The longest run against
ASU last year was 48 yards,
and a huge reason was
this LB set. Losing Robert
James may affect results
early on, but things should
rebound as juniors Nixon
and Goethel settle in.
Soph Oliver Aaron has
the safety-LB hybrid look
that is good for stopping
spread out opponents,
and the spring competition
will only pump up the
candidates replacing James
even more. Finding the
right guy at MLB will
go a long way toward holding
ASU’s win total
above eight.
DEFENSIVE
BACK
The only leftover from
the ’07 secondary
is Omar Bolden, an ex-RB
who proved much to keep
coach Erickson resting
well come early August.
C.C.-transfer Terell Carr
looks like an immediate
contributor at corner,
so there is hope before
UGA kicks off the four-game
span that will define
the season for Arizona
State. All-Pac Ten SS
Troy Nolan proved his
value in stepping up big-time
(third on ASU for tackles;
tops in INTs) after 2006
forced a red-shirt. Jeremy
Payton (foot) will bounce
back to provide a solid
starter – the ex-WR
can play any place in
the secondary, so he can
match-up well against
anyone when multiple receivers
are employed. Rod Cox
is a viable backup, so
the DBs look like they
just need to gel.
The
only thing left to say
has to do with first quarter
scoring, something which
has to be stemmed (128
combined points). Big
points were allowed early
in the USC, Oregon, Texas
and Oregon State games,
with only OSU then allowing
ASU a comeback for the
win. They did better as
the game went on, only
allow 39 combined points
in the fourth quarters,
so this problem in the
initial 15 minutes seems
to be a single dimension
that can also lead to
more wins.
|
|
DE
Dexter Davis
|
|
|
ARIZONA
STATE 2008 DEPTH
CHART
Returning
Starters/Key
Players |
DEFENSE |
DE |
Dexter
Davis-Jr (6-2, 247) |
Jamarr
Robinson-So (6-2,
234) |
DT |
Jonathan
English-So (5-11,
335) |
Saia
Falahola-So (6-2,
301) |
DT |
David
Smith-Sr (6-3, 280) |
Paul
'Unga-Sr (6-3, 255) |
DE |
Luiz
Vasquez-Sr (6-2, 247) |
James
Brooks-Fr (6-4, 271) |
SLB |
Travis
Goethel-Jr (6-3, 229) |
Derrall
Anderson-Fr (6-3,
220) |
MLB |
Morris
Wooten-Sr (6-1, 237) |
Gerald
Munns-Jr (6-4, 240) |
WLB |
Mike
Nixon-So (6-2, 226) |
Oliver
Aaron-Fr (6-2, 205)
Ryan McFoy-Jr (6-2,
201) |
CB |
Terell
Carr-Jr (5-9, 170) |
Travis
Smith-Jr (5-11, 178) |
CB |
Omar
Bolden-So (5-11, 200) |
Grant
Crunkleton-Jr (5-10,
182) |
S |
Troy
Nolan-Sr (6-2, 204) |
Max
Tabach-So (6-2, 205) |
S |
Rodney
Cox-Sr (6-1, 219) |
Jeremy
Payton-Sr (6-1, 210) |
P |
Thomas
Weber-So (6-1, 202) |
Zach
Richards-Fr (6-2,
188) |
|
|
|
2008
SPECIAL TEAMS |
The
national standard for field
goal kicking has to be Tom Weber,
who only missed one try in his
debut season. He’s an
ace-in-the-hole for Erickson
(possibly for three more seasons);
2008 looks good when ASU is
in closer games. Weber also
did much of the punting, though,
without another foot on the
roster (Johnson graduated),
his health seems paramount for
State to remain viable. Letting
him punt again could be a serious
problem if left unaddressed,
for his punting numbers are
OK, but Weber alone against
incoming rushers cannot be the
continued destiny for last year’s
Groza winner. The return game
just has to find compliments
to Kyle Williams for PRs (possibly
Bolden or one of many fast newbies),
or just let the capable open-field
runner loose on those, too.
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