|
WR
Steve Odom |
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|
2005
Statistics |
Coach:
Tom Amstutz
45-18,
5 years |
2005
Record: 9-3 |
|
WESTERN
ILLINOIS |
WON
62-14 |
W.
MICHIGAN |
WON
56-23 |
at
Temple |
WON
42-17 |
at
Fresno State |
LOST
14-44 |
EAST.
MICHIGAN |
WON
30-3 |
at
Ball State |
WON
34-14 |
BUFFALO |
WON
38-15 |
at
Cent. Michigan |
LOST
17-21 |
at
Ohio |
WON
30-21 |
NORTH.
ILLINOIS |
LOST
17-35 |
at
Bowling Green |
WON
44-41 (2OT) |
GMAC
BOWL |
vs.
UTEP |
WON
45-13 |
|
2005 Final Rankings
AP-UR, Coaches-UR, BCS-UR
|
2006
Outlook |
We
entered last season expecting Toledo's
questionable defense to be a stumbling
block to a memorable year. As it turned
out, new coordinator Tim Rose turned
the unit into one of the top 25 in
the nation, a cornerstone for a quietly
successful 9-3 finish. Appropriately,
that campaign ended with one of the
MAC's biggest wins of 2005, a 45-13
rout of UTEP at the GMAC Bowl. With
the school’s top all-time QB
gone, the defense will have to prove
that last year's surprising showing
was no fluke. That challenge will
be exacerbated by the loss of both
inside backers, but just about everyone
else on last year's defensive two-deep
is back, including some game-changing
playmakers in Tyrrell Herbert and
Mike Alston. As long as the offense
can sustain some drives so that the
defense inherits decent field position,
there's no reason why Rose's bunch
shouldn't remain the best in the MAC.
That
brings us back to the offense, particularly
the passing game, which becomes the
chief area of concern with the graduation
of Bruce Gradkowski. New starter Clint
Cochran has the opportunity to shine
with a solid line to keep him upright,
plenty of reliable targets and an
explosive running game to balance
the offense. How quickly he matures
into the role and builds cohesion
with his receivers is the key to their
entire season. The punting game, which
allowed three TDs on blocked punts,
also needs to be strengthened. As
the cliché goes, defense wins
championships, so the Rockets are
at least off to a good start that
way.
All
will be tested right off the bat with
three tough foes in his first five
games, including the Aug. 31 opener
at Iowa State. Toledo hosts improving
Kansas (and their tough D) in Week
3, and then goes for another upset
at Pitt in Week 5. This mid-major
program is a notorious giant killer,
and a win at Ames against a defense
with a rebuilt line and secondary
isn't outside the realm of possibility.
It would be a perfect momentum booster
as they enter their MAC slate, which
gets more challenging each year as
the conference improves.
As
good as this team looks on paper,
don't expect a Utah-like (2004) unbeaten
season and surprise run at a BCS bid.
A conference title, along with another
minor bowl win and a top-25 ranking,
are more achievable goals. None of
those will come easy, though, Bowling
Green and Akron come to the Glass
Bowl. The key is Cochran. With any
luck, in three years we'll be talking
about how hard he'll be to replace.
Projected
2006 record: 9-3
|
|
|
TE
Chris Hopkins |
TOLEDO
*POWER RATINGS |
Offense |
Defense |
QB
- 3 |
DL
- 3.5 |
RB
- 3.5 |
LB
- 3 |
WR
- 4 |
DB
- 3 |
OL
- 3.5 |
.. |
|
RETURNING
LEADERS |
Passing:
Clint Cochran, 43-32-1, 262 yds.,
1 TD
Rushing: Jalen Parmele, 64
att., 294 yds., 3 TD
Receiving: Steve Odom, 55 rec.,
690 yds., 6 TD
Scoring: Steve Odom, 6 TD,
36 pts.
Punting: Brett Kern, 33 punts,
39.5 avg.
Kicking: none
Tackles: Tyrrell Herbert, 94
tot., 45 solo
Sacks: Mike Alston, 9.5 sacks
Interceptions: Bo Martin, 2
for 38 yds.
Kickoff Returns: Richard Davis,
17 ret., 22.8 avg., 1 TD
Punt Returns: Steve Odom, 20
ret., 6.3 avg., 0 TD
|
|
|
|
|
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TOLEDO
|
|
|
OFFENSE
- 8 |
----RETURNING
STARTERS---- |
DEFENSE
- 7 |
|
KEY
LOSSES |
OFFENSE:
Bruce Gradkowski-QB, Trinity Dawson-RB,
Quinton Broussard-RB, Chris Wakeman-OG,
Jason Robbins-K |
DEFENSE:
Anthony
Jordan-ILB, David Thomas-ILB, Jason
Flowers-CB, Antonio Malone-CB, Keon
Jackson-SS |
|
|
2006
OFFENSE |
Quarterback
Conference
MVP and three-year starter Bruce Gradkowski's
departure represents the biggest hole to
fill for the head coach Tom Amstutz, who
opened up a three-way battle for the job
this spring. The likely heir apparent is
redshirt soph Clint Cochran, last year's
No. 2. With a strong arm and decent wheels,
Cochran is a mid-sized drop-back passer
in the Gradkowski mold. He's also the lone
candidate with real-time experience, having
completed 75 percent of his throws in a
start against Fresno State last fall. Don't
expect much drop-off from an offense that
returns plenty of talent at the other skill
positions. The other two candidates are
a little less multi-faceted. Redshirt frosh
Brandon Summers, who originally committed
to Indiana, is a mid-sized running-QB with
questionable accuracy (49.7 completion rate
as a prep junior). John Goolsby, a redshirt
soph, is a smart 6-5 drop back passer who
didn't reach the varsity until his senior
year of high school. Cochran is the best
fit for the offense, but a strong supporting
cast could make Summers or Goolsby look
good if either is thrust into action.
Running
Back
Last
year's top two backs are gone, but there's
plenty of talent to plug in here. Scooter
McDougle, who missed all of '05 with a knee
injury, is the likely go-to guy, but don't
be surprised if OC John Shannon goes with
a tailback-by-committee approach. McDougle,
the team's top back in '04, is a speed-power
combo and an excellent receiver out of the
backfield. The top returning rusher from
last year, Jalen Parmele is a big, quick
back who was hampered by nagging injuries,
though he isn't much of a receiving threat.
Redshirt soph Richard Davis is a small speedster
who averaged 7.1 yards per carry and has
decent hands. The X-factor here is Raymond
Williams, Mr. Ohio Football for ‘03,
who is a walk-on after losing his scholarship
at West Virginia (legal issues). Williams,
who hasn't played in two years, ran for
more than 6,000 yards during his last two
seasons at St. Benedictine (Cleveland).
This well-rounded group can make up for
whatever variable(s) the ground game loses
without a dual-threat QB.
Receiver
Cochran
inherits an offense that returns one of
the MAC's best receiving corps. The reliable
Steve Odom is back as the No. 1 target.
Odom is small and quick over the middle,
and has caught a pass in a nation-leading
37 straight games, but isn't a true deep
threat when the braintrust employs a dink-and-dunk
passing scheme. He doesn't have to be. David
Hawkins, a 5-8 junior who averaged 14.0
yards, is an explosive yards-after-the-catch
type, while soph Andre Redd became a starter
late in the season, and both have plenty
of vertical potential. Lanky targets Nick
Moore and David Washington should also help
stretch the field. There's plenty of potential
in these guys to keep the focus off Odom.
Even with an experienced passer in Gradkowski,
this group (rebuilt in 2005) could have
been more productive. Now the skill and
experience here – via tough lessons
learned - will aid the transition at QB,
while maintaining enough balance to open
up the run.
Tight
End
Second-team
All-MAC pick Chris Hopkins, a senior, leads
a three-deep group that combined for 67
catches and 11 TDs. Hopkins, a high school
DE out of Chicago, is a proven commodity
as a blocker and surprised many with his
soft mitts in finishing second in receptions
(back-peddling catch beat Bowling Green
in double-OT). Josh Powell, a 6-5 senior
backup, is more of a threat as a blocker,
though he occasionally breaks free for a
big grab. The future is soph John Allen,
a receiver playing TE who had five TDs as
a freshman. Each of these three will be
vital in the Rockets' short, possession-style
passing game, though Hopkins and Allen can
occasionally break one deep against overmatched
LBs.
Offensive
Line
The
quality protection provided by this group
will be key for a QB in Cochran who is not
a slug, but lacks his predecessor's elusiveness
(13 sacks allowed in 2005 led the MAC while
they finished 13th in the nation in rushing).
RG (Wakeman) is the only loss from a cohesive
line that made it through an entire season
with no (re)shuffling. All-MAC LT John Greco,
who gave up just one sack on the blind-side
last year, is the leader up front, along
with C Hassan Adebesin, who makes all the
(right) calls. RT Jerry Aguwa, the most
physically gifted of these guys, will have
to adjust to a new guard on his side. That'll
likely be senior Jesse Anderson, a career
backup who knows the blocking schemes well
by now. This line, coupled with that talented
RB unit and a solid air attack to open things
up, should lead to one of the MAC's/nation’s
most frightening rushing attacks.
OFFENSIVE
BREAKDOWN
With
the offense loaded in every other area,
all eyes are on the QB. Cochran, presumably,
will be that guy. He has most of the needed
aerial tools, but he'll need to mature into
a cool-under-fire leader. The running game
will be a two-, three-, or even four-headed
monster that will blow most opponents away
behind a rock solid (already gelled) offensive
front. The passing game has the potential
to be equally as efficient, both in the
short possession-style typically employed
at UT, and in the vertical game of which
we need to see more. The deep group of receivers
is more mature, while reliable TE and RB
targets will give opposing defenses fits
underneath. This offense can possibly exceed
last year's 35.8 points per game (10th in
the nation), depending on how quickly Cochran
matures into the lead role.
|
|
OT
John Greco
|
|
|
TOLEDO
2006 DEPTH CHART
Returning Starters/Key
Players |
OFFENSE |
QB |
Clint
Cochran-So (6-3, 205) |
Brandon
Summers-Fr (6-0, 187)
John Goolsby-So (6-5, 215) |
RB |
Jalen
Parmele-Jr (6-0, 222) |
Richard
Davis-So (6-0, 200)
Scooter McDougle-Jr (6-0, 245) |
WR |
Andrew
Hawkins-Jr (5-8, 163) |
David
Washington-Jr (6-5, 219) |
WR |
Steve
Odom-Sr (5-10, 170) |
Andre
Redd-So (5-11, 196) |
WR |
Nick
Moore-So (6-4, 192) |
Trumaine
Smith-So (6-4, 211) |
TE |
John
Allen-So (6-5, 215) |
Chris
Hopkins-Sr (6-5, 255) |
Josh
Powell-Sr (6-5, 263) |
|
OT |
John
Greco-Jr (6-5, 318) |
Sean
Zabinski-So (6-6, 302) |
OG |
David
Perkins-Jr (6-2, 308) |
Chad
Diggs-Sr (6-4, 313) |
C |
Hassan
Adebesin-Sr (6-0, 300) |
Patrick
Dawson-So (6-3, 280) |
OG |
Jesse
Anderson-Sr (6-4, 300) |
Tyree
Pollard-Jr (6-3, 312) |
OT |
Jerry
Aguwa-Sr (6-4, 295) |
Greg
Luna-Sr (6-8, 330) |
K |
Mike
Krispinsky-Jr (5-10, 185) |
Drew
Oehler-Fr (5-11, 170) |
|
|
2006
DEFENSE |
Defensive
Line
The spearhead of DC Tim Rose's 3-4 look
is a quick and experienced group of D-linemen.
Last year's entire two-deep returns, giving
Rose another solid rotation that knows what
to do. Inside, Patrick Clark ties up a blocker
or two to free up the inside backers, while
occasionally making a stop. Starting DEs
Sean Williamson and J.P. Bekasiak keep solid
containment on the outside while providing
some pressure (5.5 sacks, 10.5 TFLs combined).
Undersized backup DEs Seth Thitoff and Nick
Lawrence (nine TFLs, three sacks combined)
bring LB speed and athleticism into the
backup roles. These guys aren't the most
menacing pass rushers in the MAC, but their
efficient containment should key another
strong run defense and could easily improve
on their 27th national rank from last fall.
Linebacker
Besides
QB, the biggest area of concern is replacing
two monster inside backers. Then again,
one of the strengths of this defense is
senior outside backers Mike Alston and Mike
Chamberlain. Rose believes Alston is his
fastest player on defense. The All-MAC pick,
who had three sacks in the GMAC Bowl, is
an impact player who opposing OCs have to
game-plan around. Chamberlain, a former
Juco safety, makes up for his lack of size
with excellent (sideline-to-sideline) speed.
The speedy OLBs are then obviously a force
in pass coverage, too. But the key is inside,
especially in a 3-4 scheme. The leading
candidates are Steven Morrison (Alston's
backup last year) and Keith Forestal. A
true soph with 4.6 speed, Forestal drew
praise from Amstutz this spring, while Morrison
reportedly made a smooth transition to the
inside. If this corps can remain solid in
the middle, this defense should match or
improve on last year's No. 21 national ranking
in total defense.
Defensive
Back
Last
year's leader is gone, but this group should
remain tough to beat. Junior free safety
Tyrrell Herbert, the top playmaker back
here, fills the leadership gap. The team's
top returning tackler, Herbert is a solid
run-stopper who finished tied for seventh
in the nation in forced fumbles (five),
while also proving his worth in pass coverage.
A third-year starter, undersized (but tough)
junior Nigel Morris continues to blossom
as a top cover corner. His counterpart,
senior Bo Martin, is an experienced backup
who uses his size to create turnovers. With
the help of a quick quartet of LBs, this
talented, deep group should excel as it
did last season, when only Bowling Green's
prolific Omar Jacobs was able to pick it
apart.
DEFENSIVE BREAKDOWN
Rose
inherited a defense full of question marks
last fall and turned it into the best in
the MAC. With all but four players back
from the two-deep, this year's group looks
to be even better. It dominated the offense
(typical in most spring games) in the April
15 final spring scrimmage, intercepting
a pair of passes and putting plenty of pressure
on the QBs. The key is that questionable
middle, which Amstutz said he felt much
better about by the end of the spring. If
the secondary gets caught having to help
out against the run, offenses will surely
find their openings deep. Overall, this
defense is a bit undersized, even by MAC
standards, but these guys are efficient
at keeping things in front of them with
their speed and smart play. At the same
time, UT tied for 32nd nationally in turnovers
gained, led the MAC in sacks and scored
five defensive TDs. Those ideal trends should
continue behind playmakers such as Alston
and Herbert. It call comes down to the middle.
Expect to see Morrison and Forestal tested
early with plenty of between-the-tackles
carries. The Rocket’s stoppers need
to deliver better on third-downs (allowed
foes to convert 39% of them) to take the
next step into the “domination”
department.
|
|
LB
Mike Alston
|
|
|
TOLEDO
2006 DEPTH CHART
Returning Starters/Key
Players |
DEFENSE |
DE |
Sean
Williamson-Jr (6-2, 265) |
Seth
Thitoff-Sr (6-2, 220) |
DT |
J.P.
Bekasiak-Sr (6-6, 296) |
Aaron
Albritton-Sr (6-2, 261) |
DE |
Patrick
Clark-Jr (6-4, 266) |
Bernard
Faithful-Jr (6-3, 240) |
OLB |
Mike
Alston-Sr (6-2, 212) |
Shaun
Fitzgibbons-Jr (6-1, 224) |
ILB |
Keith
Forestal-So (6-3, 215) |
Marques
McFarlin-Sr (6-2, 232) |
ILB |
Steven
Morrison-Jr (6-2, 220) |
Eric
Heller-Fr (6-0, 219) |
OLB |
Mike
Chamberlain-Sr (6-2, 208) |
Greg
Hay-Jr (6-2, 200) |
CB |
Nigel
Morris-Jr (6-0, 181) |
Bo
Martin-Sr (6-2, 198) |
CB |
Keiron
Brown-So (5-11, 176) |
Walter
Atkins-Fr (6-1, 182) |
SS |
Lester
Richmond-Fr (6-1, 184) |
Chris
Faison-Fr (6-1, 169) |
FS |
Tyrrell
Herbert-Jr (6-2, 190) |
Jeff
Green-So (6-2, 185) |
P |
Brett
Kern-Jr (6-3, 195) |
.. |
|
|
|
2006
SPECIAL TEAMS |
Kicker
Junior Mike Krispinsky is the favorite to take
over for MAC special teams player of the year
Jason Robbins after two seasons of sharing kickoff
duties. Krispinsky, who has yet to attempt a collegiate
field goal or PAT, got his average kick only to
the 15 and had no touchbacks, making his leg strength
suspect. Don't be surprised to see the job go
to incoming freshman Alex Steigerwald, who was
also recruited by West Virginia and Wisconsin.
He made 19-of-21 FG attempts during his last two
years of prep and was second-team all-state as
a punter (42.9 yards per kick). Coverage, fourth
in the conference with a solid 17.6 yards per
try, should remain such with all the speed in
its defensive depth.
Punter
It's a good sign when punting is one of your biggest
worries. Junior Brett Kern is back for his third
season, but no one on the Maumee River is dancing
in joy. Kern took a step back last fall, averaging
39.5 yards per kick with four blocked (three of
those resulted in TDs). Otherwise, net coverage
is fine after ranking 28th nationally (allowed
a meager 6.87 yards per).
Return
Game
The speedsters Odom and Richard Davis will remain
the primary return men. Punts must improve. Behind
Odom, UT averaged was ninth in the conference
at 7.5 yards per PR attempt. Maybe Davis, who
was fifth in the MAC on kicks (22.8 yards, one
TD) should be switched to punts as well.
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