|
QB
Drew Stanton |
|
|
2005
Statistics |
Coach:
John L. Smith
18-18,
3 years |
2005
Record: 5-6 |
|
KENT
STATE |
WON
49-14 |
HAWAI'I |
WON
42-14 |
at
Notre Dame |
WON
44-41 (OT) |
at
Illinois |
WON
61-14 |
MICHIGAN |
LOST
31-34 (OT) |
at
Ohio State |
LOST
24-35 |
NORTHWESTERN |
LOST
14-49 |
INDIANA |
WON
46-15 |
at
Purdue |
LOST
21-28 |
at
Minnesota |
LOST
18-41 |
PENN
STATE |
LOST
22-37 |
|
2005 Final Rankings
AP-UR, Coaches-UR, BCS-UR
|
2006
Outlook |
All
head coach John L. Smith has to do is to
keep his bunch winning as consistently as
they do in games before October to have
the Spartans take the next step. Since coming
here from Louisville before the 2003 season,
he has compiled a 10-3 record prior to October,
including a 4-0 mark last year that had
many talking highly of how far State would
go after they beat juggernaut Notre Dame
in South Bend. But the near miss at home
in OT just two weeks later against their
in-state rival started a skid that saw them
go 1-6 to close, with most games ones in
which they were never really close to winning.
His teams here are 8-15 after September,
and with two losing records in a row, it
seems like the Big Ten is a huge hurdle
for Smith’s legacy here. But this
year looks like it can be different.
Like
last year, it all comes down to the defense.
He has never coached their total effort
on this side of the ball to better than
a 62nd showing, with 2005’s 87th ranking
disappointing, at best. But all three starting
LBs return, and they should work to make
both of the revamped areas, the DL and secondary,
come together. The DBs don’t seem
as strong coming into the fall as the line,
but the quick, svelte corps should be able
to drop back as needed until they can hold
their own. The overall product should be
much better, enough so as to rebound nicely
once the conference slate starts.
The
offense won’t be a problem. Fifth-year
senior Drew Stanton has the talent behind
and around him to have MSU keep up even
in scoring duals in case the defense again
falls flat. But moreover, if the defense
does its job, State’s ball-control
approach can spread opponents out and run
down their throats to hold any lead they
may get. Some will point to the youth on
the OL as a question mark, but we can tell
you they will prove worthy enough so that
the Spartans will remain one of the elite
teams that can gain average 200 yards per
game both rushing and passing. Stanton as
a Heisman candidate is a realistic proposition
if this team can get at least eight wins.
And
like last year, it all revolves around their
toughest four games. Notre Dame, Michigan
(away) and Ohio State all happen from late
September through mid-October, and the closer
in Happy Valley means this team will again
possibly see four top 10 teams that will
likely define 2006 like they did 2005. The
worst defeat last year of these four was
35-24 to the Buckeyes, which reveals a character
trait in Michigan State – even though
they focus and show up against these toughies,
they cannot afford to again lose sight against
the other in-conference foes. It will be
another disappointment if they do not get
to a bowl game, for this Spartan squad is
good enough to finish in the top 25 if they
just show the consistency that has been
lacking since 2004. Don’t ignore their
potential, but also don’t be upset
when they miss a beat and again finish around
.500.
Projected
2006 record: 6-6
|
|
|
LB
SirDarean Adams |
MICHIGAN
STATE
*POWER RATINGS |
Offense |
Defense |
QB
- 4.5 |
DL
- 2 |
RB
- 4 |
LB
- 3.5 |
WR
- 4 |
DB
- 2 |
OL
- 3 |
.. |
|
RETURNING
LEADERS |
Passing:
Drew Stanton, 354-236-12, 3077 yds., 22
TD
Rushing: Javon Ringer, 122 att.,
817 yds., 5 TD
Receiving: Jerramy Scott, 49 rec.,
722 yds., 4 TD
Scoring: Jehuu Caulcrick, 7 TD, 42
pts.
Punting: Brandon Fields, 40 punts,
41.6 avg.
Kicking: John Goss, 4-11 FG, 28-28
PAT, 40 pts.
Tackles: David Herron, 65 tot., 38
solo
Sacks: Clifton Ryan, 3 sacks
Interceptions: SirDarean Adams, 3
for 54 yds., 1 TD
Kickoff Returns: Demond Williams,
17 ret., 25.4 avg., 1 TD
Punt Returns: Terry Love, 10 ret.,
8.7 avg., 0 TD
|
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|
|
|
MICHIGAN
STATE |
|
|
OFFENSE
- 5
|
----RETURNING
STARTERS----
|
DEFENSE
- 6
|
|
KEY
LOSSES
|
OFFENSE:
Jason Teague-RB, Kyle Brown-WR, Ryan Woods-TE,
Stefon Wheeler-OT, Chris Morris-C, Gordon
Niebylski-OG |
DEFENSE:
Michael
Bazemore-DE, Domata Peko-DT, Brandon McKinney-DT,
Ashton Watson-CB, Eric Smith-SS, Jaren Hayes-CB |
|
|
2006
OFFENSE
|
Quarterback
For
overall team success, it all relies on fifth-year
senior Drew Stanton. Well sized and nimble footed,
Stanton proved his worth last season by finding
his comfort zone in the pocket, and the results
(66.7% completion rate, 22 TDs and 3000+ passing
yards) prove his drop-back ability really pays
the most dividends. Still, this Farmington Hills-native
has a keen sense for when to take off and make
the play himself – he led the way in last
year’s win against Notre Dame (in South
Bend), and will again single-handedly keep them
in games if/when the defense struggles. His protégé,
Brian Hoyer, is a step faster, but a bit smaller.
Hoyer can be everything Stanton already is, but
he has to learn more patience in the pocket (by
his own admittance). This fledging sophomore is
the future here, and will see more than mop-up
duty in 2006 for further seasoning. Classmate
Domenic Natale is even smaller, and this drop-back
hurler has never seen real game reps, though coaches
are high on his prospects, if inserted. The Spartans
have a strong three-deep, but keeping All-American
Stanton (Honorable Mention, NationalChamps.net)
healthy as their field general surely provides
their best chance to stay in the Big Ten race.
Running
Back
This
area is well stocked with three guys who could
start, but in State’s usual three-WR sets,
they will rotate early and often. The workhorse
seems to be sophomore Javon Ringer, a stocky quickster
(4.35 in the 40) who runs inside the tackles as
well he takes the outside corners. His 6.7 yards
per rush in ’05 is complimented well by
his soft hands. Junior Jehuu Caulcrick is a true
freak of nature – at 245 lbs, he runs a
4.41-40. Caulcrick’s competence in short-yardage
and goal line situations is proven via his 89
carries that resulted in only eight lost yards.
Smaller junior Brett Kahn compliments the other
two as a scat-back type. The Trenton-native is
an ex-CB who was (prep) all-state in the 100 and
400 meters. With not much behind these three,
injuries could be a factor in offensive production
if they hit this unit hard.
Receiver
The
Spartans will see four of 2005’s top five
snarlers return to keep their passing game one
of the country’s best. Senior Jerramy Scott
will remain the “go to” guy for Stanton,
for though a bit undersized, he gets results both
short and deep from the slot. At 6’6”,
classmate Matt Trannon wins jump balls galore.
This Flint product fortifies the running game
with superior downfield blocking to go with his
precise route running. He is backed up by former-JUCO
star Kerry Reed, another well-sized senior burner
(4.4) who scorches DBs often due to the others
garnering so much attention. The Z position is
in good hands with junior Terry Love, who averaged
the team’s top yardage per catch in ’05.
It is a bit thin behind these four, but the two-deep
gets JUCO-transfer Devin Thomas to bolster this
group of experienced upperclassmen.
Tight End
Tight
End
Junior Kellen Davis is strong as both a blocker
and a receiver over the deep middle. Running a
4.7 second 40 yard dash, look for his role to
expend even more with so many awesome receivers
to help get him open. Backup Dwayne Holmes is
just as viable and tough, having moved from DE-LB
to offense last year and proving worthy. If both
are in for two-TE sets, defenses will likely be
overmatched if play-action is employed.
Offensive
Line
With
only two starters back, coach Smith will be relying
on a trio of sophomores to help patch together
a line that can again attain 200+ yards per game
in both offensive dimensions. Junior Mike Gyetvai
moves over from the right side to the volatile
left tackle slot, and this Canadian-native (named
the country’s top prospect by scout Ron
Dias coming into MSU) has the footwork to improve
the Spartan’s sack total (24). He joins
senior left guard Kyle Cook to provide an obvious
chosen side for plays to go, but with Cook grading
out consistently in the 90+ percentile, this approach
should work, regardless. Center John Masters seems
like a true find, and as one of the three new
starters, he will become a fixture for years to
come with huge potential for development. Bigman
Roland Martin at right guard will also work well.
A consensus all-American at tackle in prep (didn’t
allow a sack his last two years), his move to
the inside has proven to work as he saw valuable
time his first year and is ready to take over
here. Jesse Miller is the final sophomore who
will also fit nicely with his great footwork at
right tackle. There is decent depth inside, but
the outside lacks many experienced backups. In
the end, there will be little impact on overall
production even with so many new faces.
OFFENSIVE BREAKDOWN
After
ranking 5th in the country for total offense with
almost 500 yards per game, the Spartans now are
one of a handful of teams that finished with 200+
yards per game both rushing and passing to return
their starting QB. Senior Drew Stanton seems to
have settled into the pocket more comfortably
(had a TD pass in every game in ’05), but
that doesn’t mean he can’t motor it
for needed gains when the opposing D shuts down
his receivers. The only thing that may slow the
ball-moving down would be injuries on the line.
But with four experienced snarlers and a couple
of big, quick TEs in their three- and four-receiver
looks, what State brings to the table passing-wise
won’t be stopped for more than one play
at a time. This will again open up the running
lanes, and coach Smith will utilize his three-headed
RB unit for maximized results. He has the right
back for every occasion (especially hulking speedster
Jehuu Caulcrick), making his offense’s overall
balance unstoppable. This means the Spartans can
again control the clock and they will also pick
up right where they left off in converting almost
half of their third-down tries (47% in 2005 ranked
them 10th nationally).
|
|
WR
Jerramy Scott
|
|
|
MICHIGAN
STATE 2006 DEPTH CHART
Returning Starters/Key
Players |
OFFENSE |
QB |
Drew
Stanton-Sr (6-3, 222) |
Brian
Hoyer-So (6-2, 204) |
RB |
Jehuu
Caulcrick-Jr (6-0, 245) |
Javon
Ringer-So (5-9, 186) |
WR |
Matt
Trannon-Sr (6-6, 227) |
Kerry
Reed-Sr (6-2, 198) |
WR |
Terry
Love-Jr (5-11, 173) |
Diego
Oquendo-So (5-9, 178) |
WR |
Jerramy
Scott-Sr (5-10, 186) |
Carl
Grimes-So (5-9, 171) |
TE |
Kellen
Freeman-Davis-Jr (6-6, 241) |
Dwayne
Holmes-So (6-0, 254) |
OT |
Mike
Gyetvai-Jr (6-7, 307) |
Tom
Kaczmarek-So (6-5, 308) |
OG |
Kyle
Cook-Sr (6-3, 295) |
Peter
Clifford-Jr (6-7, 327) |
C |
John
Masters-So (6-4, 280) |
Joel
Nitchman-Fr (6-3, 277) |
OG |
Roland
Martin-So (6-5, 318) |
Daniel
Zynn-Sr (6-2, 321) |
OT |
Jesse
Miller-So (6-6, 311) |
Brendon
Moss-Fr (6-6, 269) |
K |
Matt
Haughey-So (5-9, 175) |
John
Goss-Sr (6-3, 218) |
|
|
2006
DEFENSE
|
Defensive
Line
Senior
DE/NT Clifton Ryan is the only remaining starter
from a line that allowed foes 4.6 yards per carry
and only had seven sacks to its credit. Luckily,
Ryan had three of them, proving how well he moves
for his huge size. Classmate David Stanton also
has excellent footwork for his inside role (DT),
and the JUCO-transfer should help this unit improve
its showing. Speedy sophomores Justin Kershaw
and Brandon Long get the nod to hold the outside.
Long is a converted-LB who should be in opponents’
backfields quite often, while Kershaw is better
sized with just as much potential for penetration.
The quartet of junior backups (along with a great
haul in this year’s recruiting class) also
seem promising enough, and we feel that the Spartan’s
new-look DL (bolstered by the strong LB corps
behind them) can finish substantially higher than
2005’s 76th ranking for run-stopping while
raising the sack total substantially.
Linebacker
This
is the team’s strongest defensive unit,
by far, with three upperclassmen who all return
to again starter. Junior SirDarean Adams is their
best cover guy – this former-DB (worked
at free safety this spring) coupled three INTs
in 2005 with five TFLs as the “Bandit”,
both team bests. His 4.42 speed means he (re)covers
well in mis-direction attempts and play-action.
Classmate Kaleb Thornhill is a step slower but
a size bigger at “Mike”. This local
product has the potential to be strong in many
facets, but has yet to truly make enough big plays
at crucial times. “Whip” David Herron
is their senior run-plugger who has made the conversion
from DE well (FB in prep whose claim to fame is
he was Maurice Clarett’s lead blocker).
A starter since 2004 here, Herron is sharp as
he plays within his “heads up”, opportunistic
approach. Senior Steven Juarez is a quick, nicely-sized
former prep all-American wrestler who proved worthy
as a JUCO-transfer last year and will continue
to rotate in with regularity to bolster wherever
needed. With little behind these four, this year’s
four-star prospect Eric Gordon needs to see reps
and he should make good if so. This corps will
be the key for State to improve on its 87th ranking
for total defense.
Defensive
Back
What
a difference a year makes, especially seeing how
MSU dropped from having the nation’s 52nd
ranked pass efficiency defense in 2004 to the
94th last year. It will have to be addition via
subtraction with the Spartans losing three starters
from the secondary, but that could prove to be
just what is needed here. Seniors Demond Williams
and Greg Cooper lead a crew of mostly underclassmen
who have the talent to improve things. Cooper,
last year’s starter at free safety, is now
back at corner, the position he played in prep,
and is flourishing there. Still, more experienced
Williams and well-sized sophomore Ross Weaver
are looking like the starters, so Cooper as a
nickel means the CBs look improved as a group.
PrepStar all-American Mike Bell has a huge unrealized
upside, and the junior takes over at strong safety
(from being a reserve at free) with great closing
speed. Sophomore Otis Wiley will handle the vaunted
free slot, proving enough via big plays in his
brief true freshman campaign to give promise for
improvements there. JUCO-transfer Nehemiah Warrick
will also infuse some experience (though not at
the I-A level) in the Spartans way-back machine,
so giving up big plays weekly (foes earned 25
passing TDs) can hopefully become a thing of the
past.
DEFENSIVE
BREAKDOWN
After
finishing the first four games 4-0 while holding
three of those four foes to 14 points, the bottom
dropped out of the ’05 Spartan defense during
their tough in-conference run. Only two of the
last seven foes (Indiana and Purdue) were held
under 30 points, and the 1-6 slide that ensued
has caused major shakeups in 2006 for the defensive
alignment, especially in their secondary. Coordinator
Chris Smeland (also in charge of the new look
safeties) should be on the bubble after his guys
went from a 62nd ranking for total defense to
87th, but the LB unit returns in full to give
promise to the rebuilding efforts. Thornhill,
Herron and Adams are versatile enough to help
both defensive facets, with Adams able to drop
into coverage as well as any DB on the roster.
With a recruiting class this year that appears
weighted in defensive talent, Smith and Smeland
can surely find a strong enough 11 from the highly
rated prospects streaming in to make the Spartans
more consistent here. Just watch how well they
do in decreasing foe’s average yards per
carry (from last year’s appalling 4.6) and
third-down conversion rate (allowed 45%) –
in the Big Ten, as goes these stats, so goes the
team’s destiny.
|
|
NT
Clifton Ryan
|
|
|
MICHIGAN
STATE 2006 DEPTH CHART
Returning Starters/Key
Players |
DEFENSE |
DE |
Justin
Kershaw-So (6-4, 253) |
Nick
Smith-Jr (6-6, 265) |
NT |
Clifton
Ryan-Sr (6-2, 302) |
Bobby
Jones-Jr (6-4, 299) |
DT |
David
Stanton-Sr (6-3, 291) |
Ogemdi
Nwagbuo-Jr (6-4, 304) |
DE |
Brandon
Long-So (6-4, 230) |
Jonal
Saint-Dic-Jr (6-1, 260) |
MIKE |
Kaleb
Thornhill-Jr (6-1, 240) |
Steven
Juarez-Sr (6-1, 225) |
WHIP |
David
Herron-Sr (6-1, 246) |
Eric
Andino-Jr (6-4, 232) |
BAN |
SirDarean
Adams-Jr (6-0, 222) |
Tom
Dance-So (6-1, 205) |
CB |
Ross
Weaver-So (6-1, 189) |
Jelani
Nantambo-Fr (5-9, 178) |
CB |
Demond
Williams-Sr (5-9, 174) |
Greg
Cooper-Sr (5-11, 189) |
S |
Mike
Bell-Jr (5-11, 189) |
Nehemiah
Warrick-Jr (6-1, 204) |
FS |
Otis
Wiley-So (6-2, 185) |
.. |
P |
Brandon
Fields-Sr (6-6, 230) |
John
Goss-Sr (6-3, 218) |
|
|
|
2006
SPECIAL TEAMS
|
Kicker
As
we predicted for them last year, this is an area of
much Spartan concern, for current senior John Goss and
sophomore Matt Haughey went a combined 5-for-16 in FGAs,
and they each had two tries blocked. Goss tanked two
short tries (from 23 and 37 yards) in the Michigan OT
game and ostensibly cost them the win. The JUCO-transfer
seems to have the leg, but also seems better suited
to punt and handle KOs (four of his 11 KO tries in 2005
were touchbacks); these were his specialties at the
lower level from which he came. Haughey could only go
1-for-5 (31 yarder) when coaches benched Goss (whose
longest FG was 32 yards). Something has to give, and
it could be in the form of this year’s fourth-best
PK recruit – Brett Swenson. Coverage on KOs is
marginal again, but hungry newbies deep in the defensive
charts should help as they compete for reps.
Punter
Big senior Brandon Fields did well with a 41+ average,
but he out-kicks his coverage enough so that MSU only
ranked 75th in net punting (they allowed 11+ per opponents’
15 returns, with one coming back all the way). Fields
6’6”, 230lb frame means he is truly an eleventh
tackler, and the fumble he forced shows he ain’t
fooling around when he gets in on the play this way.
But with two of his tries blocked in ’05, you
can see how much work State has to do on their special
teams’ kicking chores to keep them from again
being a liability this campaign.
Return
Game
Senior Demond Williams’ 4.35 speed and extensive
experience as a KO returner give State an upper hand
on many foes. Terry Love takes over sole possession
of the PR duties, and his quick first few steps (to
go with 4.45 speed) mean he should take it up a notch
so MSU can win those field position battles that the
kicking game makes necessary.
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