|
WR
Mark Philmore |
|
2004
Statistics
|
Coach:
Randy Walker
30-41,
6 years |
2004
Record: 6-6
|
|
at
TCU |
LOST
45-48 (2OT) |
ARIZONA
STATE |
LOST
21-30 |
KANSAS |
WON
20-17 |
at
Minnesota |
LOST
17-43 |
OHIO
STATE |
WON
33-27 (OT) |
INDIANA |
WON
31-24 (2OT) |
at
Wisconsin |
LOST
12-24 |
PURDUE |
WON
13-10 |
at
Penn State |
WON
14-7 |
at
Michigan |
LOST
20-42 |
ILLINOIS |
WON
28-21 (OT) |
at
Hawai'i |
LOST
41-49 |
|
2004 Final Rankings
AP-UR, Coaches-UR, BCS-UR
|
2005
Outlook
|
Once
the conference laughingstock, Northwestern
has become the conference wild card. In
the last 10 years, only Michigan has won
or shared more Big Ten titles. Then again,
the Cats have had five losing seasons in
that span. Last fall, they beat Ohio State,
Purdue and Penn State, yet lost to TCU,
then to Hawai'i in the regular season closer
that could have possibly clinched a bowl
bid.
Whether
by pure skill, overachievement or simple
luck, NU football has taken steps forward
under Randy Walker (and predecessor Gary
Barnett). The five seasons at .500 or better
in the past 10 years came after only two
in the previous 31. Last fall, Walker became
the first NU coach to beat the Buckeyes
since 1971, and the first to have three
six-win seasons since the Great Depression.
Another six-win-or-better season would mark
the first time since 1929-31 that the program
has done that three straight times.
After
two straight overachieving teams, the question
surrounding Walker's program is whether
it can advance from middle-of-the-pack to
front-runner status. We all know about the
academic and traditional challenges affecting
recruiting in Evanston. Unless Walker starts
finding more talented players who are also
true student-athletes, and who want to take
a chance with a Big Ten also-ran, overachievement
and perennial optimism will have to be the
themes. Heady teams can only go so far.
Getting
all of their elements to fire simultaneously
and gel is too much to expect. So, for a
team that is a mix of promise (skill positions,
front-seven) and problems (O-line, secondary,
special teams), six wins would be another
overachievement. The schedule is brutal
once again, meaning the Cats will have to
pull some more upsets to get to .500. The
opening foursome of Ohio, Northern Illinois,
(at) Arizona State, and Penn State will
set the tone. To have a shot at a bowl,
NU will have to come out of that at least
3-1 as killer road games at Purdue and Ohio
State and home dates with Michigan and Iowa
follow. But, this crew could beat a few
they shouldn't and lose to a few they should
beat, so mapping out their slate's results
is moot.
A
bowl trip is possible, but a 4-7 or 5-6
mark is more likely, considering the schedule
and problem areas the Cats are facing. Then
again, we're never quite sure what to expect
from a team that has surprised more often
than it has followed pre-season predictions.
Heck, Ralph "Moon" Baker would
be proud to see his lineage in this gutsy
group and their underdog mentality.
This
program truly represents the tradition of
student-athletics we here at NationalChamps.net
champion and respect, for these guys take
adversity/defeat as a challenge from which
to interpersonally grow, not as any genuine
loss. Programs like this are becoming fewer
and fewer (100% graduation rate in 2002
and 2004), so realize how achievements don't
just come from wins at this venerable institution.
Northwestern is still a Sebastian of football
integrity that should be celebrated regardless
of their on-field results.
Projected
2005 record: 4-7
|
|
|
LB
Tim McGarigle |
NORTHWESTERN
*POWER RATINGS
|
Offense
|
Defense
|
QB
- 4 |
DL
- 3.5 |
RB
- 3.5 |
LB
- 3.5 |
WR
- 3.5 |
DB
- 2 |
OL
- 3 |
.. |
|
RETURNING
LEADERS
|
Passing:
Brett Basanez, 460-247-9, 2838 yds., 12
TD
Rushing: Jordan Terrell, 65 att.,
315 yds., 3 TD
Receiving: Mark Philmore, 54 rec.,
633 yds., 2 TD
Scoring: Brett Basanez, 5 TD, 30
pts.
Punting: Ryan Pederson, 22 punts,
36.8 avg.
Kicking: Joel Howells, 4-5 FG, 9-10
PAT, 21 pts.
Tackles: Tim McGarigle, 151 tot.,
102 solo
Sacks: Nick Roach, 5 sacks
Interceptions: Bryan Heinz, 1 for
0 yds.; Jeff Backes, 1 for 0 yds.; Tim McGarigle,
1 for 1 yds.
Kickoff returns: Terrell Jordan,
17 ret., 23.8 avg., 0 TD
Punt returns: Mark Philmore, 14 ret.,
10.4 avg., 0 TD
|
|
|
|
|
OFFENSE
- 6
|
----RETURNING
STARTERS----
|
DEFENSE
- 7
|
|
KEY
LOSSES
|
OFFENSE:
Noah Herron-RB, Ashton Aikens-WR, Taylor Jones-TE,
Matt Ulrich-OG, Ikechuku Ndukwe-OG, Trai Essex-OT,
Brian Huffman-K/P |
DEFENSE:
Luis
Castillo-DT, Colby Clark-DE, David Thompson-DE,
John Pickens-OLB, Dominique Price-SAF, Marvin
Ward-CB |
|
|
2005
OFFENSE
|
Quarterback
After returning to form in '04, fourth-year starter
Brett Basanez will look to elevate his game that
much further. With the dislocated shoulder he
played through now mended, and with solid performers
around him, there's no reason he shouldn't be
better. That will make a solid offense explosive,
as Basanez was already good enough to rank second
in the Big Ten in total offense, passing yardage
and completions per game. He also ran for 361
yards, a necessity in Randy Walker's spread attack.
Basanez has 28 straight starts under his belt,
making him one of the country's most experienced
passers, and his coaches said he had his best
spring. Backup C.J. Bacher, a redshirt freshman,
shined this spring against a defense, though,
missing several key faces. Bacher, a dual-threat
who ranked No. 14 at his position by Rivals.com,
has the physical tools to run the offense. But,
realistically, the Cats would take a step back
while he got his feet wet.
Running
Back
One of the key position battles this spring, quick
soph Brandon Roberson emerged as the likely heir
apparent as senior Terrell Jordan remains on the
mend. The Texas native ran for 141 yards and a
TD on 18 carries in the second intrasquad scrimmage
(the spring game was canceled due to bad weather).
He impressed the staff with his speed and instincts.
Still, Walker said after spring practice that
he might not name a starter until the Sept. 3
opener. So, expect Jordan, another smallish speedster
who has averaged 5.1 yards per carry, to be in
the mix, along with incoming freshmen Tyrell Sutton
and Omar Conteh. Sutton, almost a physical clone
of Roberson, was Mr. Ohio Football last fall.
One of the most critical needs here is good hands:
Walker makes his RBs a crucial part of the passing
game (departed RB Herron had 36 grabs).
Receiver
This should be a strength, with five of Basenez's
top targets back, all at WR. The key is senior
Mark Philmore, who still led the team in receptions
(54) despite missing the last four games with
a sprained knee. The entire passing game dropped
off in his absence (and with Basanez's shoulder
hurting). Philmore is a solid route runner who
should be the possession guy out of the X spot.
Junior Shaun Herbert, who led the team with 14.5
yards per grab, is somewhat of a deep threat out
of the H. Kim Thompson and Brandon Horn give Basanez
a pair of big targets at the Z. There's plenty
of depth here, which allows Walker to use those
preferred four-wideout sets. If Philmore stays
healthy, this could be one of the better groups
in the Big Ten.
Tight
End and Fullback
These spots can be lumped together because, when
on the field, these guys are mostly used as blockers.
Plus, at NWestern, FBs often play TE, and vice
versa. Taylor Jones, who had seven catches, didn't
come out for his fifth year, leaving Erryn Cobb
and Frayne Abernathy to man the TE spot. Abernathy
takes over for Cobb at FB. With some holes to
fill on the line, their blocking will come in
handy (if/when they're on the field).
Offensive
Line
A real strength last season, this was a point
of emphasis during the spring as three spots need
to be filled. Early on, at least, a unit that
allowed just 12 sacks (third in Big Ten) while
spearheading the conference's No. 3 run offense
could struggle. The good news is Basanez has quick
feet, and there's plenty of speed (though not
much power) in the backfield. The foundation is
RT Zach Strief, a 6-7, 335-pounder who was a consensus
second-team all-Big Ten pick. Junior C Trevor
Rees should step up some more in his third year
as starter. The blindside could be a big problem
early until soph LT Dylan Thiry (6-8, 300) and
either Joe Tripodi or Austin Matthews (too close
to call) gel. None of those three has a career
start.
OFFENSIVE
BREAKDOWN
The continuing maturity of Basanez and the development
of the O-line are the keys, but by the start of
the Big Ten slate, this should be an improved
offense. By now, Basanez has the kind of cohesion
with his receivers that leads to big numbers.
Herron was a big loss, but Walker has had a 1,000-yard
rusher in five of his six seasons at NU, and in
24 of his 29 seasons as a coach, which leads one
to believe someone will emerge. The speed in the
backfield is perfect for a spread attack, especially
one with plenty of capable receivers to open up
the middle and TEs/FBs who can handle any assignment.
Once this multi-dimensional unit starts clicking,
it will be a chore to slow down, even against
their tough schedule.
|
|
OT
Zach Strief
|
|
|
NORTHWESTERN
2005 DEPTH CHART
Returning Starters in bold
|
OFFENSE
|
QB |
Brett
Basanez-Sr |
C.J.
Bacher-Fr |
RB |
Terrell
Jordan-Sr |
Nathan
Shanks-So / Chris Malleo-So (FB) |
WR |
Kim
Thompson-So |
Brandon
Horn-Sr |
WR |
Mark
Philmore-Sr |
T.J.
Jones-So |
WR |
Shaun
Herbert-Jr |
Jonathan
Fields-Sr |
TE |
Erryn
Cobb-Jr |
Frayne
Abernathy-So |
OT |
Dylan
Thiry-So |
Vince
Clarke-Sr |
OG |
Joe
Tripodi-Jr |
Joel
Belding-Fr |
C |
Trevor
Rees-Jr |
Adam
Crum-So |
OG |
Ryan
Keenan-Jr |
Austin
Matthews-So |
OT |
Zach
Strief-Sr |
Alex
Rucks-Fr |
K |
Joel
Howells-Jr |
.. |
|
|
2005
DEFENSE
|
Defensive
Line
Despite losing first-round NFL pick Luis Castillo
and tackle Colby Clark, this group should be solid.
DE Loren Howard, who missed the first six games
last fall, could be a better pro prospect than
Castillo if he stays healthy. Big and quick, Howard
had decent sack and TFL totals despite only five
starts. He missed the spring due to ankle injures,
which isn't a promising sign (he also missed last
spring with bad ankles). DT Barry Cofield, who
moves inside after starting at DE, will be one
of the nation's best, according to Walker. A 300-pounder
who can genuinely move, Cofield could make Walker
look prophetic. Together, Howard and Cofield should
form one of the Big Ten's better inside-outside
combos. The problem is depth (or lack thereof)
and finding someone to step in for Cofield at
DE. The staff was disappointed that no one stepped
up (yet) to fill that void. Look for a possible
surprise this fall, likely from the three DTs
and two DEs who signed on this winter.
Linebacker
All-Big Ten MLB Tim McGarigle won't have quite
the same strength up front to keep blockers off
of him, which should prove to NFL scouts whether
(or not) he's the real deal. McGarigle, who led
the nation in tackling, leads a deep and quick
corps that will be tough against the run and decent
in short-passing coverage. Adam Kadela, who won
the starting job in the middle last fall before
breaking his leg three games in, moves to SAM.
Junior WILL Nick Roach was a breakout performer
with a co-team-high five sacks. There's experienced
depth with junior Demetrius Easton, who got plenty
of reps in Kadela's absence, and soph Eddie Simpson.
The No. 8 ranking in the conference in run defense
is a little misleading, considering opponents
averaged 139.2 yards on the ground. Look for those
yards, and that ranking, to decrease.
Defensive
Back
Plenty of experience returns here, but is that
really a good thing? The secondary has killed
this team the past few years, including in '04,
when they was 98th in Division I-A. The Cats simply
have to cut down on allowing the big plays (foes
threw for 25 TDs and 152 first downs with only
eight INTs). The key is on improving the safeties,
who were too often burned down the middle. Former
walk-on Bryan Heinz has moved from free safety
to strong safety to better suit his tackling ability.
Quicker alternates Reggie McPherson and Herschel
Henderson are battling for Heinz's old post. The
corners look decent, with improving senior Jeff
Backes growing into the top-cover role, while
the fastest player on the team, junior Marquice
Cole, lines up on the opposite side. Cory Dious
and Deante Battle provide nice depth at corner,
but overall lack of size is a problem.
DEFENSIVE
BREAKDOWN
The run defense should continue to be solid, which
means offenses will go after that typically weak
secondary early and often. There's speed and athleticism
back there, which DC Greg Colby will try to capitalize
on with nickel and dime looks. Expect plenty of
blitz packages and stunts as Colby tries to slow
down the pass anyway he can. It should help, seeing
as the team's top two pass rushers are LBs. But
the bottom line is about how vets like Heinz and
Backes need to improve, and newcomers such as
Dious and Battle have to mature quickly, or the
offense will have to dramatically increase its
scoring output.
|
|
DT
Barry Cofield
|
|
|
NORTHWESTERN
2005 DEPTH CHART
Returning Starters in bold
|
DEFENSE
|
DE |
Loren
Howard-Sr |
Kevin
Mims-Fr |
DT |
Barry
Cofield-Sr |
Ron
Bardwell-Jr |
DT |
Trevor
Schultz-Jr |
Warren
Anderson-So |
DE |
David
Ngene-So |
Mark
Koehn-So |
WLB |
Nick
Roach-Jr |
Eddie
Simpson-So |
MLB |
Tim
McGarigle-Sr |
Demetrius
Eaton-Jr |
SLB |
Adam
Kadela-Jr |
Campbell
Black-Jr |
CB |
Marquice
Cole-Jr |
Cory
Dious-Jr |
CB |
Jeff
Backes-Sr |
Deante
Battle-So |
SS |
Bryan
Heinz-Jr |
Frederic
Tarver-Sr |
FS |
Reggie
McPherson-So |
Herschel
Henderson-Sr |
P |
Ryan
Pederson-Jr |
.. |
|
|
|
2005
SPECIAL TEAMS
|
Kicker
Joel Howells took over for Huffman late in the season
and hit 4-of-5 FGAs, including two from 40+. Like Huffman,
he doesn't have a huge leg, so the offense will have
to get close (likely the 25 and in) before he is allowed
to try. But, unlike Huffman (7-for-17 on FGs), he's
accurate. He also has a stronger leg on kickoffs, which
is good news for a return group that was last in the
Big Ten. We hate to say it like this, but both kicking
areas will probably improve with Huffman gone.
Punter
Part-timer Ryan Pederson, who had 22 punts behind the
dismal Brian Huffman, will improve this dimension as
he takes over. He only averaged 36.8 yards, but, considering
he didn't play high school football and came to NU as
a soccer goalie, he must have plenty of developmental
upside. Punt return coverage wasn't much better, ranking
102nd in Division I-A while allowing three TDs. The
overall speed on this team, and plenty of sleepless
nights for Walker, should result in some badly needed
improvements.
Return
Game
Unlike the rest of the special teams, this area was
productive. The Cats got three TDs on returns, including
two by a PR unit rated No. 5 in the Big Ten. The main
players are all back, which bodes well for starting
field position(s). Look for Philmore and Backes to handle
punts, while Backes and Jordan (and probably Roberson)
take care of kickoffs.
|
|
|
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|