|
RB
Mike Bell |
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2004
Statistics |
Coach:
Mike Stoops
3-8,
1 year |
2004
Record: 3-8 |
|
NORTHERN
ARIZONA |
WON
21-3 |
UTAH |
LOST
6-23 |
WISCONSIN |
LOST
7-9 |
WASHINGTON
STATE |
LOST
19-20 |
at
UCLA |
LOST
17-37 |
at
Oregon |
LOST
14-28 |
CALIFORNIA |
LOST
0-38 |
OREGON
STATE |
LOST
14-28 |
at
Washington |
WON
23-13 |
at
Southern California |
LOST
9-49 |
ARIZONA
STATE |
WON
34-27 |
|
2004
Final Rankings
AP-UR, Coaches-UR, BCS-UR
|
2005
Outlook |
When
Mike Stoops arrived last year, many believers
thought that bringing in a coordinator/assistant
from Oklahoma, a perennial national contender,
to mend the Wildcat’s sinking ship
would equal instant success. With but three
wins on which to hang his first head coaching
campaign, most will overlook what Stoops
did accomplish - though only improving the
school’s victory total by one, the
juggernaut recruiting class and defensive
advancements make nay-sayers naive. Stoops
trimmed 80 yards and 10 points per game
from opponents’ totals. The coach’s
record of (being a part of) turning sagging
programs around is consistent (see his Kansas
State tenure), so, as proven, expect to
first see the defense (under brother Mark’s
tutelage) surge as this area becomes prototypical
of the entire team’s advancements.
Stoops
(similar to Steve Spurrier’s current
plight) will take his conference foes and
use these tough opponents to teach his team
valuable lessons. Also similar, look for
those tough early lessons to reflect mistakes
that won’t then be repeated. Kids
have to learn the hard way, but with Stoops,
mistakes quickly become skills, not plaguing
memories. The talent is there, so a turnaround
shouldn’t be overlooked. But this
is the Pac Ten, which means that accelerating
any timetables could prove detrimental to
longterm team improvements. Fans and alums
have to let Stoops work his magic, even
if losing persists. This campaign may not
reflect how much the team improves via wins.
With consistency already there on defense,
though, it is the offense which will hold
the team up.
No
one doubts Arizona’s need for a quality
field general. We foresee Canales, a QB
specialist, improving the Wildcats under
center enough such that more offensive balance
can open up their yardage acquisition. The
running game is strong, but not lightning
quick, which makes their work cut out for
this side of things – no passing game
(again) will mean a stacked box and dismal
results. New hurlers Austin and incoming
frosh Tuitama will make/break these efforts.
With all of the other quality units on offense,
focus and blame become transparent if this
happens. But any team that only gives its
TEs/FBs a few paltry touches deserves to
have foes predict its scheme(s).
Two
slow openers cannot lull Arizona into anything,
not with their four toughest tilts coming
right after that. Breaking even would truly
be an accomplishment; winning a few against
the conference’s best, even if they
finish under .500, would be just as big
a step. Incremental steps, reflected through
competitive consistency, are realistic/attainable
goals that would definitively keep Arizona
returning toward prominence.
Projected
2005 record: 3-8
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|
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DB
Darrell Brooks |
ARIZONA
*POWER RATINGS |
Offense |
Defense |
QB
- 2 |
DL
- 3 |
RB
- 3 |
LB
- 2.5 |
WR
- 3.5 |
DB
- 3 |
OL
- 2.5 |
.. |
|
RETURNING
LEADERS |
Passing:
Richard Kovalcheck, 136-67-6, 880 yds.,
6 TD
Rushing: Mike Bell, 204 att., 950
yds., 5 TD
Receiving: Syndric Steptoe, 30 rec.,
446 yds., 3 TD
Scoring: Nick Folk, 8-13 FG, 18-18
PAT, 42 pts.
Punting: Danny Baugher, 74 punts,
41.2 avg.
Kicking: Nick Folk, 8-13 FG, 18-18
PAT, 42 pts.
Tackles: Darrell Brooks, 73 tot.,
48 solo
Sacks: Lionel Dotson, 3 sacks
Interceptions: Antoine Cason, 4 for
88 yds.
Kickoff returns: Syndric Steptoe,
17 ret., 22.6 avg., 0 TD
Punt returns: Ryan Eidson, 11 ret.,
9.6 avg., 0 TD
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OFFENSE
- 7 |
----RETURNING
STARTERS---- |
DEFENSE
- 7 |
|
KEY
LOSSES |
OFFENSE:
Ricky Williams-WR, Clarence McRae-TE, Steve
Fleming-TE, Chris Johnson-OT, Keoki Fraser-C,
Brandon Phillips-OT, Kris Heavner-QB (transferred),
Biren Ealy-WR (dismissed) |
DEFENSE:
Carlos
Williams-DT, Andre Torrey-DE, Patrick Howard-LB,
Kirk Johnson-LB, Tony Wingate-DB |
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|
2005
OFFENSE |
Quarterback
Sophomore
Richard Kovalcheck brings tough lessons learned
via real-game experience to the table, and will
therefore be the likely starter. But this drop-back
hurler has struggled to complete even half of
his throws, and that sets the stage for junior
Adam Austin, a former walk-on who took most of
the snaps this spring. Austin proved a steady
performer, and his size means he can stand up
better to pass rushers. But it is true frosh Willie
Tuitama who evidently has the most promise, for
the Wildcat’s staff is leaving the door
open for him to possibly be the main signal-caller
once he arrives. Tuitama moves well in the pocket,
but is no stallion once in the open field. That
should say it all for this aerial attack that
finished ranked 98th and could only find the endzone
ten times. Mobility obviously remains the unit’s
Achilles Heel, but why did Kovalcheck lose so
many yards if he runs a 4.7-second 40? Austin’s
worthy feet and toughness make him Arizona’s
best ground option of the three. Combine Kovalcheck’s
experiences, Austin’s grit and Tuitama’s
potential to make the ideal Wildcat QB - the perfect
specimen; but rotating them all to get these qualities
whenever each is needed will prove impossible.
A starter has to emerge and be given the room
to develop into the team leader that this offense
so desperately requires.
Running
Back
Ominously,
this group will still lead the offensive charge.
Senior Mike Bell has the size-speed combination
needed for success in the Pac Ten. A former (prep)
track star, Bell uses his power intelligently,
busting through holes just as well as he takes
the corner, with soft hands to boot. Classmates
Pedro Limon (FB) and Gilbert Harris (TB) are both
bigger than Bell, which makes this the conference’s
largest backfield, even two-deep. Harris is the
fastest back with moves galore, while ex-LB Limon
is the team’s bulldozer and has an approach
that makes him a genuine/natural leader. Limon,
though, gets only a handful of touches –
we ostensibly urge coordinator Mike Canales to
use his knowledge to expand Limon’s role,
for more options/Limon out of the backfield can
only freeze more potential tacklers (LBs). Most
of the recruits are cut in this same-sized mold,
which is good for back- (or down-) field blocking,
but bad for tallying big gainers and/or long scores.
Keeping legs fresh will again help this unit to
reach its potential, but will that be enough to
make offensive production “run” with
efficiency, or just enough (as it was in ’04)
to keep the Wildcats from total stagnation? What
was the 93rd-ranked ground attack will keep foes
honest. Moreover, these backs shouldn’t
be overlooked as deadly weapons when Arizona is
inside the “red zone”.
Receiver
This
is an under-developed area due to QB struggles,
but the talent is in place to have this unit be
one of the conference’s best. Former-track
guy Syndric Steptoe (37” vertical leap),
a junior, has what is needed to get open early
and often runs frantic in the open-field. JUCO-transfer
B.J. Vickers will surely make waves when he arrives
and fills a starting spot right away. Classmate
Mike Jefferson is also well-sized (like Vickers),
and this deep threat uses his 4.39 speed well
whenever needed. All-around talent Anthony Johnson
can easily use his arm just as well as he could
take it to the house on a reverse, so watch his
presence as a signal for trickery/distraction.
It is obvious that this group only needs to have
the ball delivered to blossom into the faces of
consistency for which many Wildcat fans have waited.
Tight
End
This
is yet another spot where JUCO help will start
right away. Brandyn McCall is more of a receiver
than a blocker, but the junior will be the primary
for his sheer girth. Brad Wood is really a receiver,
but is big enough to (and will) line up in the
backfield, too. Ex-LB Ryan Kilpatrick and brutish
true freshman Adam Grant (recruited as a tackle)
will see playing time in short yardage and/or
two-TE situations. With so many role players,
this position, like the FBs, needs to be a more
vital part of the Wildcat attack.
Offensive
Line
Already
a marginally strong unit, this line looks even
better off now than it did in allowing only 22
sacks. That is because their proven tackles can
only get better with the addition of two four-star
recruits. Sophomore Peter Graniello is versatile
enough to move over if/when highly anticipated
junior JUCO-transfer Adam Hawes arrives, and even
more qualified tackles assure that the outside
will be safe deep into the fourth. Senior C Kili
Lefotu is the anchor and leader of the entire
crew, with great footwork that allows his sizeable
efforts to pay off. Inside, ex-DT John Abramo
will use his experience to balance RS frosh Joe
Longacre, who is no slouch as he proved by making
the transition from tackle to (right) guard rather
well in his strong spring showing. Performance
levels in Arizona’s running game will improve,
and any failures at QB will not likely be attributable
to this deep group.
OFFENSIVE
BREAKDOWN
What
Arizona was missing in their pathetic attempt
at offense (112th in total offense, 116th in scoring)
was a field general who could deliver and lead
while making all around him play to their potential(s).
Kovalcheck didn’t convince anyone in spring
ball that he had made the strides needed to get
his performance to the (needed) next level, so
either Tuitama or Austin seems to be the only
answer(s). All of the talent positions are stacked,
and the line has made headway in improving itself.
It really is very clear that only improvement(s)
in QB play can be the catalyst for all areas to
improve production. No matter how good the RBs,
OC Canales has to keep defenses honest with more
(and better distributed, position-wise) passes,
for predictability was what caused the Wildcats
to convert merely 30% of their third-down attempts.
UA needs to quit taking “baby steps”
and go for it right away – in scoring only
28 and 34 combined points in the first and second
quarters last campaign, respectively, the whole
team was “behind the eight ball” right
away, with no chance to win in most of their losses.
If the QBs struggle, opening the offense up early
couldn’t hurt.
|
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WR
Syndric Steptoe
|
|
|
ARIZONA
2005 DEPTH CHART
Returning Starters in bold |
OFFENSE |
QB |
Richard
Kovalcheck-So (6-2, 211) |
Adam
Austin-Jr (6-3, 213) |
FB |
Pedro
Limon-Jr (6-0, 244) |
Paul
Nichols-Jr (6-3, 235) |
RB |
Mike
Bell-Sr (6-1, 218) |
Gilbert
Harris-Sr (6-2, 223)
Chris Henry-So (6-0, 220) |
WR |
B.J.
Vickers-Jr (6-3, 215) |
Anthony
Johnson-So (6-2, 200) |
WR |
Syndric
Steptoe-Jr (5-9, 170) |
Michael
Jefferson-Jr (6-2, 203) |
TE |
Brandyn
McCall-Jr (6-5, 250) |
Brad
Wood-Jr (6-3, 220) |
OT |
Peter
Graniello-So (6-7, 293) |
Bill
Wacholz-Fr (6-7, 300) |
OG |
John
Abramo-Sr (6-4, 294) |
Dillon
Hansen-Fr (6-5, 290) |
C |
Kili
Lefotu-Sr (6-5, 315) |
Erick
Levitre-Jr (6-1, 270) |
OG |
Joe
Longacre-Fr (6-4, 310) |
Eddie
Rollmann-Fr (6-4, 282) |
OT |
Tanner
Bell-Sr (6-8, 300) |
Brad
Brittain-Sr (6-5, 292) |
K |
Nick
Folk-Jr (6-2, 206) |
Adam
Goldstein-Fr (5-5, 150) |
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2005
DEFENSE |
Defensive
Line
Though
a decent group of run stuffers (30th in rushing
D), a pass rush has to be achieved so that the
secondary can have time to improve. Senior ends
Marcus Smith and Copeland Bryan are actually better
in passing situations than anything (Smith’s
eight pass breakups were second-most for any Wildcat),
but their 2.5 combined sacks tell you the story
here. Proven depth is a concern, but the new class
has some real potential to tighten the outside,
as does heady reserve Jason Parker. Inside, the
arrival of NJCAA all-American Byron Smith has
most Wildcat fans sleeping better. Fellow-junior
Paul Philipp has starting experience, and is also
that heady-type who has eyes in the back of his
helmet. Classmate Ricky Parker (no relation) is
another JUCO-transfer who will join other reserves
to assuredly make the Wildcats tough and “deep”
in the trenches.
Linebacker
Senior
Randy Sims is the leadership of the corps, and
though not a starter in 2004, he proved himself
through speed and determination to be an impact
player. His strongside efforts make standout sophomore
Dane Krogstad able to slide to the weakside. Krogstad,
prep champ at discus, shotput and 4x400, will
have a breakout year now that the system is fully
grasped. All-academic Ronnie Palmer is another
quick study who starts as a RS freshman due to
ability, not size. Ex-FB Sean Jones and John McKinney
(4.6) will give girth as these upperclassmen rotate
in for optimal effect. New faces should prove
that this unit can finally be relied upon as the
glue needed to tie the entire defense together.
Defensive
Back
With
all four starters still here from the 101st-ranked
pass defense, lessons have been learned so that
team work will make the group better than its
standout component parts. These guys are already
strong at tackling and/or run-stopping, but more
attention will be paid to making the coverage
units more versatile. Antoine Cason (his three
forced fumbles and four INTs made him a freshman
all-American) has combined with fellow-sophomore
Wilrey Fontenot to secure the corners, though
size issue with Fontenot (5’9) could easily
mean that four-star JUCO-transfer Michael Johnson
(6’3) may be forced to displace/compliment
speedy Dramayne McElroy (sub-4.3) as a nickel
option. Little experience is found in the three-deep,
so injuries on the outsides would likely be felt.
Much less worry surrounds the safeties. Seniors
Lamon Means (strongside) and Darrell Brooks have
all-around ability and will continue to bring
the wood weekly. These two guys will command this
entire 11. Incoming talent abounds in back, so
expect the entire back seven to pick up their
efforts due to both hard lessons learned and the
new blood.
DEFENSIVE
BREAKDOWN
The
bottom line here is about the same – the
back seven cannot be so caught up in run stopping
that it allows opponents to move through the air.
The LBs are again the key, for though they are
small for this major conference, committing an
eighth DB/defender into the box will likely be
met with similarly damaging “over the top”
results. The DBs can likely be left on their islands
if needed, but extended, predictable periods of
such would again (no matter how good the DBs are)
prove detrimental to consistently stopping ball
movement and/or scoring. More pressure put on
opposing QBs would reverse many of the team’s
ills, so hopefully the Wildcats can avoid 2004’s
pitfall of predictably biting on play-action.
Only three (of their most talented) foes broke
the 30-point barrier – Stoops & Bros.
have made sure that this D knows how/when to tighten
the reigns. But allowing a 41% third-down conversion
rate offsets holding opponents to 3.3 ypc, which
means that the younger Stoops has his work cut
out so that this 11 can make their already-quality
efforts genuinely impacting.
|
|
DB
Antoine Cason
|
|
|
ARIZONA
2005 DEPTH CHART
Returning Starters in bold |
DEFENSE |
DE |
Marcus
Smith-Sr (6-5, 249) |
Jason
Parker-So (6-3, 255) |
NT |
Byron
Smith-Jr (6-2, 295) |
Yaniv
Barnett-So (6-3, 285) |
DT |
Paul
Philipp-Jr (6-3, 278) |
Lionel
Dotson-So (6-4, 252) |
DE |
Copeland
Bryan-Sr (6-4, 240) |
Johnathan
Turner-Fr (6-3, 240) |
SLB |
Randy
Sims-Sr (5-11, 225) |
Sean
Jones-Sr (5-11, 230) |
MLB |
Ronnie
Palmer-Fr (6-2, 217) |
Akin
Akinniyi-Fr (6-0, 230) |
WLB |
Dane
Krogstad-So (6-1, 226) |
John
McKinney-Jr (6-0, 232) |
CB |
Wilrey
Fontenot-So (5-9, 170) |
B.J.
Dennard-So (6-1, 175) |
CB |
Antoine
Cason-So (6-1, 180) |
Michael
Beach-So (6-0, 181)
Dramayne McElroy-Jr (5-10, 170) |
SS |
Lamon
Means-Sr (6-3, 232) |
Michael
Johnson-Jr (6-3, 195) |
FS |
Darrell
Brooks-Sr (6-1, 210) |
Dominic
Patrick-So (6-0, 200) |
P |
Danny
Baugher-Sr (5-10, 195) |
.. |
|
|
|
2005
SPECIAL TEAMS |
Kicker
Junior
Nick Folk’s past efforts will pay the team dividends
as he takes hard lesson(s) learned from the Wisconsin
game – one in which he missed two chance that
would have won the game – to the bank. This all-academic
standout has the leg strength to try from past 50, and
is big enough to be an asset in coverage when he kicks
off. Holding foes to around 20 per KO return should
again be attained.
Punter
Senior
Danny Baugher could have taken his 41+ average to a
professional level. But UA needs his ability to consistently
force fair catches and pin foes inside the 20 (about
half the time). Net results reflected the dilemmas on
defense, and developments there should therefore equal
better field position as coverages are tightened via
hungry DBs/LBs.
Return
Game
Steptoe
and Dennard will be strong as KRs, with Steptoe as the
regular. But it is Mike Bell and Chris Henry who will
cause the most change as PRs. UA couldn’t get
much action when they forced a punt, and with QBs who
will need every inch they can get, the Wildcats cannot
afford to again allow foes a whopping 41.2 net average.
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