 |
QB
Andrew Walter |
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Coach:
Dirk Koetter
17-20,
3 years |
2003
Record: 5-7
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NORTHERN
ARIZONA |
WON
34-14 |
UTAH
STATE |
WON
26-16 |
at
Iowa |
LOST
2-21 |
at
Oregon State |
LOST
17-45 |
SOUTHERN
CAL |
LOST
17-37 |
OREGON |
WON
59-14 |
at
North Carolina |
WON
33-31 |
at
UCLA |
LOST
13-20 |
CALIFORNIA |
LOST
23-51 |
at
Stanford |
LOST
27-38 |
at
Washington State |
LOST
19-34 |
ARIZONA
|
WON
28-7 |
|
2003 Final Rankings
AP-UR, Coaches-UR, BCS-UR
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2004
Outlook
|
In
2004, the Sun Devils will open with a comfortable
pair of non-conference opponents, and then
they get Iowa. However, this will merely
serve as a prelude to a conference ledger
of teams that, in 2003, totaled a 63-44
overall record. Simply stated, for Arizona
State to advance beyond being another anomaly,
they will have to record more than seven
victories. How many more than that can be
recorded? October road games versus Oregon
and then Southern Cal will go a long way
to answering that. The Sun Devils will likely
win one you'll never expect them to, but
lose one or two others likewise.
While
there is no question that Walter is an extraordinary
leader, his supporting cast will ultimately
allow him the means to win. In short, for
Arizona State, the whole is greater than
the sum of its parts, and more victories
will therefore occur. The Sun Devils have
to avoid such a streaky nature - a losing
skid of three games, and then later one
of four games, secured their last campaign's
fate. Walter will improve, and how much
will directly parallel the team's level(s)
of success.
After
improving four wins from his first year's
record to his 2002 results, head coach Dirk
Koetter went backwards one win with the
high expectations of 2003. Koetter's offensive
background serves ASU well in the Pac Ten,
but ranking 82nd in total defense won't,
especially if they expect to challenge for
a conference title and/or a Top 10 ranking.
They can probably get to that Top 11-20
level if they play consistently, but expect
little more.
Projected
2004 record: 5-6
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|
ARIZONA
STATE
*POWER RATINGS
|
Offense
|
Defense
|
QB
- 4.5 |
DL
- 2 |
RB
- 4 |
LB
- 3 |
WR
- 3 |
DB
- 3.5 |
OL
- 2.5 |
.. |
|
RETURNING
LEADERS
|
Passing:
Andrew Walter, 421-221-10, 3034 yds., 24
TD
Rushing: Loren Wade, 136 att., 773
yds., 5 TD
Receiving: Derek Hagan, 66 rec.,
1076 yds., 9 TD
Scoring: Derek Hagan, 9 TD, 2 pt.,
56 pts.
Punting: None
Kicking: Jesse Ainsworth, 10-15 FG,
25-28 PAT, 47 long
Tackles: Riccardo Stewart, 84 tot.,
51 solo
Sacks: Ishmael Thrower, 4.5 sacks
Interceptions: Riccardo Stewart,
3 for 19 yds.
Kickoff Returns: Josh Golden, 9 ret.,
18.4 avg.
Punt Returns: Josh Golden, 19 ret.,
10.0 avg.
|
|
 |
OL
Grayling Love |
|
|
|
OFFENSE
- 7
|
----RETURNING
STARTERS----
|
DEFENSE
- 7
|
|
KEY
LOSSES
|
OFFENSE:
Tim Fa'aita-OG, Tony Aguilar-OL, Regis Crawford-OG,
Mike Karney-FB, Skyler Fulton-WR, Daryl Lightfoot-WR
(transferred) |
DEFENSE:
Brian
Montesanta-DT, Shane Jones-DT, Brett Hudson-S,
Tim Parker-P, Jason Shivers-FS (NFL) |
|
|
2004
OFFENSE
|
Quarterback
Andrew Walter (senior) will be given the ball
for a third starting nod. Despite a stellar sophomore
season, Walter slid in both yards and touchdowns
during 2003. He also delivered only a 219.7 average
during the Sun Devils seven unexpected, debilitating
losses. While Walter's failures were consistently
responsible for Arizona State's failures, he will
once again be the crux of the Sun Devils' offense.
Not withstanding 2003, he will be able to recover
- he should produce amidst the non-defensive minded
Pac Ten. Walter only completed a few more than
half his attempts, but 24 TD passes offsets his
inconsistent aim. If Walter fails, then head coach
Dirk Koetter could hand the ball to either Sam
Keller (sophomore), Chad Christensen (junior),
or Mike Affleck (sophomore). Before the 2003 season,
Keller was just another highly recruited signee
from San Ramon Valley HS. Keller made the team,
but not the depth chart (listed 5th on the 2003
official Spring Prospectus). He eventually leapt
over the others to become Walter's backup. Look
for Sam to get more action as Koetter commits
to grooming him as a 2005 starter.
Running
Back
Within the Sun Devils' running back core, there
is an eclectic lot currently void of a defining
lead. Atop this contingent is Loren Wade (sophomore),
who strode into a leading role, despite his own
opening depth chart position of fifth. Standing
astride his position is Cornell Canidate (junior),
who led the Sun Devils in rushing in 2002. As
Walter slid in 2003, Wade pushed production past
Candidate's '02 total of 493 yards to 773. However,
that number still placed Wade only fifth amongst
the Pacific Ten in rushing. Thus, a repeat of
those numbers would not improve Arizona State's
lackluster offensive balance. Wade will assume
a commanding offensive role. Also expected to
contribute are Hakim Hill (junior) and Randy Hill
(red shirt sophomore).
Wide
Receiver
For Walter to be effective, he will have to be
aided by a mix of wide receivers. Leading this
lot will be junior Derek Hagan, who has recorded
98 receptions and 1,481 yards during the last
two seasons. Two years ago, he broke John Jeffersons
freshman receiving record and then followed that
up with a stellar sophomore campaign where he
was an honorable-mention All-Pac-10 selection.
The onus for leadership will fall upon Hagan,
especially since Skyler Fulton has graduated,
and someone has to compensate for the 901 receiving
yards and 10 touchdowns that Fulton amassed last
season. Despite defining himself as the Sun Devils
second leading receiver in 2002, Daryl Lightfoot
transferred to nearby Northern Arizona Univ. after
a bout with unhappiness in Tempe that led to only
11 catches in 2003. Also striding into a complimentary
role this season will be third ranked pass catcher
Matt Miller (junior). To give whichever QB an
equal balance amongst wide receivers. For ASU
to avoid their previous fate, Miller will need
to aid in balancing this corps. Also needing to
contribute will be Terry Richardson (sophomore),
Moey Mutz (junior), and Rudy Burgess (sophomore).
Richardson caught 16 passes for 236 yards last
fall. According to Coach Koetter, Terry has the
ability to be a great player in the league.
Tight
End
ASU's
new H-back position and a double-tight end set
will present a multitude of looks to opposing
defenses this fall. The tight end and the H-back
are separate positions but are interchangeable
by assignment. Junior Lee Burghgraef is the returning
starter at tight end. He caught six passes for
62 yards last year, and he proved to be one of
the teams best run-blockers. Sophomore Jamaal
Lewis caught 10 passes for 99 yards and two touchdowns
last year as a tight end but will line up this
fall as an Hback. Within the aerial shimmer of
the Arizona State offense, there has unfortunately
been little request for all tight ends. In short,
a splendid season for them would be topping their
'03 total of 16 catches. As with the fullback
position (apparently now defunct), coaches need
more focus on getting the ball to the TE so needed
balance can be achieved.
Offensive
Line
Due to the rapid-fire pace of Pac Ten play, a
premium has been placed on offensive line finesse.
Thus, the fact the Arizona State's returnees possess
only one 300-plus pounded is not surprising. Similarly,
the Sun Devils should struggle early. This will
occur due to the existence of only one senior,
Drew Hodgdon, on the entire two-deep depth chart.
But these departures could be a blessing in disguise
to overcome last year's pedestrian 3.5 yards per
rush average. Improvement will be up to the three
returning starters, especially the anchor of senior
C Drew Hodgdon, to make it so. Grayling Love,
a second-team All-Pac-10 selection last year,
will get the nod at left guard. Carnahan, who
started every game at left tackle a year ago,
was named to the Sporting News Pac-10 Conference
All-Freshman team. Look for the line to shuffle
positions here or there to make of for the lack
on veterans.
OFFENSIVE
BREAKDOWN
While Walter's play did slide during 2003, his
effectiveness will be last amongst Arizona State's
overall concerns. In short, there is little question
that Walter will produce numbers. The question
lies within the effectiveness of the Sun Devils
supporting cast. Additionally, athletic talent
could be at issue both within the skill positions
and along the offensive interior. Again finishing
in the mid-40s for total offense can do for the
Sun Devils, but ranking 96th in rushing cannot,
at least if they expect it to reflect any overall
team results. For
Arizona State to reclaim bowl status, Wade will
have to garner between 875-1,000 yards catching
the pigskin. The receiving corps will also have
to glimmer, as a minimum of four players will
have to record 30 or more receptions. Excelling
both tight ends and H-back involvement, as well
as staunch offensive line play, would also produce
their desired ends.
|
 |
WR
Derek Hagan
|
|
ARIZONA
STATE 2004 DEPTH CHART
Returning Starters/Key
Players
|
OFFENSE
|
QB |
Andrew
Walter-Sr |
Sam
Keller-So |
TB |
Loren
Wade-So |
Hakim
Hill-Jr / Cornell Canidate-Jr |
HB |
Jamaal
Lewis-So |
Kellen
Mills-Fr |
WR |
Derek
Hagan-Jr |
Moey
Mutz-Jr |
WR |
Terry
Richardson-So |
Matt
Miller-Jr |
TE |
Lee
Burghgraef-Jr |
Aaron
Austin-Sr |
OT |
Chaz
White-Jr |
Brandon
Rodd-Fr |
OG |
Grayling
Love-Jr |
Stephen
Berg-So |
C |
Drew
Hodgdon-Sr |
Robert
Gustavis-Fr |
OG |
Zach
Krula-So |
Mike
Pollak-Fr |
OT |
Andrew
Carnahan-So |
Julius
Orieukwu-Fr |
K |
Jesse
Ainsworth-So |
.. |
|
|
2004
DEFENSE
|
Defensive
Line
Ranking 53rd in rushing defense won't get you
anywhere in the physically-lacking Pac Ten. Seniors
Jimmy Verdon and Ishmael Thrower did combine to
provide a solid balance at defensive end - 14.5
TFLs and 7.5 sacks prove this, huh. Despite this,
though, the Sun Devils will need to improve their
pass rushing prowess. This dictates that both
will need to increase their previous outputs.
Kyle Caldwell, who was named to the Sporting News
Pac-10 All-Freshman Team, should be much more
seasoned and add to the pressure factor. Junior
Mike Talbot, a converted fullback who put on 20
pounds since last season, will also figure into
the mix. The Sun Devils DTs were devastated by
graduation. Lost are both 72 total tackles and
44 combined career starting assignments. Senior
Connor Banks added 25 pounds in the off-season,
enabling him to move from end to tackle, where
hell play alongside senior Gabe Reininger
and sophomores Jordan Hill. Hill made the move
to defensive tackle from linebacker after adding
25 pounds. Reininger appeared in every game last
season, making 12 tackles, including 2.5 for a
loss.
Linebacker
Leading the linebackers will be junior Jamar Williams
- he led ASU with 10.5 TFLs. While he will be
the Sun Devils unquestioned second tier leader,
the play of senior Justin Burks will be just as
vital. If Burks and Williams can relieve the secondary's
tackling burden, then the Arizona State should
be able to garner a modicum of respectability.
Both
are capable of posting even bigger numbers this
year in ASUs new three-linebacker set. Juniors
Matt Fawley and Lamar Baker, both of whom played
safety last season, will compete for the starting
Devil linebacker spot, the equivalent
of a rover. Modeled after current St. Louis Ram
Adam Archuleta, the Devil backer is expected to
be able to adjust to oneback sets and must be
a good blitzer. Ironically, the last time an ASU
defense used the term Devil Back,
the player who manned the spot was perennial All-Pro
Darren Woodson of the Dallas Cowboys.
Defensive
Back
Within the atmospheric play of the Pac Ten, solid
secondary play is always a prime factor in winning.
In 2004, the Sun Devils pass defense will be spearheaded
by the veteran combination of R.J. Oliver and
Chris McKenzie. Both mid-sized senior CBs had
but two INTs and four pass breakups each, so they
will have to step up to change their 95th pass
defense ranking from '03. Also expected to make
considerable contributions will be juniors Mike
Davis Jr. and Josh Golden. Paired with their starting
counterparts, these reservists should provide
both solid depth and essential services within
nickel situations. The fundamental leader of Arizona
State's safeties is senior Riccardo Stewart. With
the draft defection of Jason Shivers, Stewart's
84 tackles will return as the Sun Devils leading
tackler. Accordingly, for Arizona State to be
successful this season, Stewart has to be somewhat
similar to the late Johnny Cash - "the man
in back". It presently seems that only he
can patch this war-torn crew to any next level(s).
Senior Emmanuel Franklin successfully moved from
cornerback to safety this spring and has played
his way into the starting lineup on many downs.
DEFENSIVE
BREAKDOWN
Defense has never been a jewel of Pac Ten play.
With that stated, Arizona State's defensive play
will not be consistent. Each level will need to
compliment the others, but will more likely one
will excel as others marginally falter. If the
ravaged defensive line can disrupt their opponent's
timing, then they can get their LBs loose, thereby
allowing them to record tackles. In turn, the
LBs would relieve the secondary's tackling responsibilities.
If these three systems can simultaneously engage,
Arizona State might contend for a conference championship.
|
 |
DB
Riccardo Stewart
|
|
ARIZONA
STATE 2004 DEPTH CHART
Returning Starters/Key
Players
|
DEFENSE
|
DE |
Jimmy
Verdon-Sr |
Kyle
Caldwell-So |
DT |
Gabe
Reininger-Sr |
Brett
Palmer-Fr |
DT |
Connor
Banks-Sr |
Jordan
Hill-So |
DE |
Ishmael
Thrower-Sr |
Mike
Talbot-Jr |
SLB |
Jamar
Williams-Jr |
Mark
Washington-So |
MLB |
Justin
Burks-Sr |
DeAndre
Johnson-Fr |
DEV |
Matt
Fawley-Jr |
Lamar
Baker-Jr |
CB |
R.J.
Oliver-Sr |
Mike
Davis-Jr |
CB |
Chris
McKenzie-Sr |
Josh
Golden-Jr |
S |
Riccardo
Stewart-Sr |
Emmanuel
Franklin-Sr |
FS |
Daniel
Varvel-So |
Maurice
London-Jr |
P |
Chris
McDonald-Fr |
.. |
|
|
|
2004
SPECIAL TEAMS
|
Kicker
Jesse Ainsworth converted on only 10-of-15 FGAs. More
disturbing for Arizona State, Ainsworth went only 2-of-6
from beyond the 40. We all know the kicking game is
essential. Thus, in order for Arizona State to ascend,
Ainsworth will need to remarkably improve.
Punter
Punter Chris McDonald, a freshman from Red Mountain
High School in Mesa, takes over for Tim Parker. McDonald
has a strong leg but lacks experience. Hell be
backed by sophomore placekicker Jesse Ainsworth.
Return
Game
Since Daryl Lightfoot transferred, the starting job
on both kick and punt returns becomes a three-way mix
between Terry Richardson, Rudy Burgess and Josh Golden.
At least Golden was able to snare 19 attempts while
in punt return formation, good enough for 10 yards per
return in 2003. He also saw limited action returning
kicks, so he is obviously the most experienced. The
return game doesn't appear to strike fear in many opponents.
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